P

Parma

Serie A - Italy·16 of 20 in the table·1 points·Ennio Tardini

Next match Como v Parma Mon 14 Sept, 17:30

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Parma — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

2 Upcoming3 Results held

Model Strength

69

Strong

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

97.2%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

4th

of 6 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

3

Held

Next fixtures

2 priced

Mon 14 Sept17:30 Como A — 10.00Betfred — Mon 14 Sept17:30 Como A — 17.01Smarkets —

Form

last 3

DLL 1 pts from 3

H Monza 1–1 -0.9

A Juventus 0–2 -0.5

H Cagliari 0–1 -1.9

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (3 matches) Model expected (3 priced) Ahead Behind

-3.4 points against the model's expectation over the 3 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Weaknesses

Clean sheets 0 #16 of 20

Shots on target 2.7 #19 of 20

Points over model expectation -3.4 #5 of 6

Goals scored 0.33 #20 of 20

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 0.33 #20 of 20

Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots 8 #20 of 20

On target 2.7 #19 of 20

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 1.33 #11 of 20

Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots faced 16.7 #13 of 20

Clean sheets 0 #16 of 20

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

0%

Scored before half time

of 1 goals

0%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 1 goals

0%

From the penalty spot

of 1 goals

50%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 4 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 3 stored fixtures (5 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

SA Serie A - Italy 2 fixtures on the snapshot · full table

#16

Position

1

Points from 3 played

-3

Goal difference

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts
14	Lecce	3	-3	3
15	Bologna	3	-2	1
16	Parma	3	-3	1
17	Monza	3	-4	1
18	Venezia	3	-5	0

Parma and its immediate neighbours in the stored table.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Mon 14 Sept17:30in 3d
   Como Parma

   SA

   Regular Season - 4
   not modelled
   model building
   —
2. Mon 14 Sept17:30in 3d
   Como Parma

   SA
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Transfers (last 5 recorded)

League position (stored standings)

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