G

Genoa

Serie A - Italy·19 of 20 in the table·0 points·Luigi Ferraris (Marassi)

Next match Genoa v Frosinone Sat 12 Sept, 14:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Genoa — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

2 Upcoming3 Results held

Model Strength

Not enough data

the model has priced 0 of this club's fixtures; 3 are needed

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

97%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

5th

of 6 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

3

Held

Next fixtures

2 priced

Sat 12 Sept14:00 Frosinone H — 2.28Betfair Exchange — Tue 15 Sept17:00 Sudtirol H — no price —

Form

last 3

LLL 0 pts from 3

H Como 1–4 -1.7

A Lazio 0–1 -0.7

H Napoli 0–2 -1.2

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (3 matches) Model expected (3 priced) Ahead Behind

-3.6 points against the model's expectation over the 3 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Weaknesses

Clean sheets 0 #14 of 20

Shots 10 #16 of 20

Goals conceded 2.33 #17 of 20

Goals scored 0.33 #19 of 20

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 0.33 #19 of 20

Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots 10 #16 of 20

On target 1.7 #20 of 20

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 2.33 #17 of 20

Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots faced 16 #12 of 20

Clean sheets 0 #14 of 20

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

100%

Scored before half time

of 1 goals

0%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 1 goals

0%

From the penalty spot

of 1 goals

43%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 7 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 3 stored fixtures (8 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

SA Serie A - Italy 2 fixtures on the snapshot · full table

#19

Position

0

Points from 3 played

-6

Goal difference

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts
17	Monza	3	-4	1
18	Venezia	3	-5	0
19	Genoa	3	-6	0
20	Fiorentina	3	-8	0

Genoa and its immediate neighbours in the stored table.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Sat 12 Sept14:00in 18h 24m
   Genoa Frosinone

   SA

   Regular Season - 4
   not modelled
   model building
   —
2. Tue 15 Sept17:00in 4d
   Genoa Sudtirol

   CI

   Round of 32
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Transfers (last 9 recorded)

League position (stored standings)

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