M

Monza

Serie A - Italy·17 of 20 in the table·1 points·Stadio Brianteo

Next match Lecce v Monza Sun 13 Sept, 14:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Monza — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

2 Upcoming3 Results held

Model Strength

69

Strong

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

98%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

Not enough data

this club has no priced fixtures in the stored competition

Fixtures Analysed

3

Held

Next fixtures

2 priced

Sun 13 Sept14:00 Lecce A — 2.94Smarkets — Fri 18 Sept19:45 Sassuolo H — 2.90Betfair Exchange —

Form

last 3

DLL 1 pts from 3

A Parma 1–1 +0.2

H Udinese 2–3 —

A Inter 1–4 -0.4

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (3 matches) Model expected (3 priced) Ahead Behind

-0.2 points against the model's expectation over the 3 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Shots faced 10.7 #6 of 20

Weaknesses

Clean sheets 0 #15 of 20

Goals conceded 2.67 #19 of 20

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 1.33 #12 of 20

Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots 12.7 #13 of 20

On target 4.3 #12 of 20

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 2.67 #19 of 20

Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots faced 10.7 #6 of 20

Clean sheets 0 #15 of 20

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

75%

Scored before half time

of 4 goals

0%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 4 goals

0%

From the penalty spot

of 4 goals

0%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 8 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 3 stored fixtures (12 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

SA Serie A - Italy 2 fixtures on the snapshot · full table

#17

Position

1

Points from 3 played

-4

Goal difference

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts
15	Bologna	3	-2	1
16	Parma	3	-3	1
17	Monza	3	-4	1
18	Venezia	3	-5	0
19	Genoa	3	-6	0

Monza and its immediate neighbours in the stored table.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Sun 13 Sept14:00in 42h 24m
   Lecce Monza

   SA

   Regular Season - 4
   not modelled
   model building
   —
2. Fri 18 Sept19:45in 7d
   Monza Sassuolo

   SA

   Regular Season - 5
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Transfers (last 3 recorded)

League position (stored standings)

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