Bologna v Monza — Serie A - Italy prediction, odds and analysis
SAAt a glance
Model edge
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Fair price
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Model prob
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Reliability
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qualification
BolognavMonza
Sat 31 Oct, 14:00Bologna1.75Unibet (UK)
Draw4.00Betfred (UK)
Monza4.50Betfred (UK)
Best captured price per outcome · 14 bookmakers · prices observed 15 h ago
RESEARCH ONLY
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: Renato Dall'Ara · cap 38,279 (home ground — gazetteer)Kickoff weather: 15.9°C · rain 0 mm · wind 10.7 kph
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Pricing board
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Recorded price movement
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Match flow
No event timeline is held for this fixture yet.
Goals, cards and substitutions arrive with the in-play sweep and the post-match pass.
Timeline and match statistics
Match statistics start at kick-off
there is nothing to count until the match is under way
The model's expected goals for this fixture are in the Model tab.
Form and league position
WLWDLD
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.17 / 1.33 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% |
| Both teams scored | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 17% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | at Cagliari (A) | 2-0 | W |
| 2026-10-17 | vs Inter (H) | 1-3 | L |
| 2026-10-11 | at Lecce (A) | 2-1 | W |
| 2026-09-19 | vs Torino (H) | 1-1 | D |
| 2026-09-13 | at Napoli (A) | 0-1 | L |
LWWLDW
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 2 / 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% |
| Both teams scored | 75% |
| Clean sheets | 25% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-23 | at Torino (A) | 2-3 | L |
| 2026-10-19 | vs Cagliari (H) | 4-0 | W |
| 2026-10-19 | vs Cagliari Calcio (H) | 4-0 | W |
| 2026-10-11 | at Lazio (A) | 1-3 | L |
| 2026-10-03 | at Stade Brestois 29 (A) | 2-2 | D |
League standings 2026–27
| Team | Pos | Pts | P | GD | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bologna | 13 | 8 | 8 | -2 | WLWDL |
| Monza | 15 | 7 | 8 | -3 | LWLWL |
Bologna: 14 pts behind 1st · 5 pts above 20th
Monza: 15 pts behind 1st · 4 pts above 20th
From the engine's stored standings snapshot · API-Football · updated 2026-10-25.
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
Recent meetings
Bologna 3 wins2 drawsMonza 1avg 1.8 goalsBTTS 50%Over 2.5 in 50%
small sample — 6 meetings held; context, not a pattern claim
| Date | Match | Score | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-18 | Bologna v Monza | 3-1 | Serie A |
| 2024-09-22 | Monza v Bologna | 1-2 | Serie A |
| 2024-04-13 | Bologna v Monza | 0-0 | Serie A |
| 2023-09-28 | Monza v Bologna | 0-0 | Serie A |
| 2023-02-12 | Bologna v Monza | 0-1 | Serie A |
| 2022-10-31 | Monza v Bologna | 1-2 | Serie A |
Prior meetings held in the engine's results archive, newest first. The archive is what the model trains on, so a meeting missing here was never ingested — it is not a claim the game was not played.
Starting elevens
Line-ups not released
clubs confirm an XI about an hour before kick-off
Squad availability and reported absences are below.
Injuries and absences
Bolognasnapshot 2026-10-25
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| A. Dovbyk | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| R. Piccoli | Missing Fixture | Hamstring Injury |
| R. Orsolini | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
| J. Odgaard | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
| N. Casale | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| E. Holm | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
| N. Zortea | Missing Fixture | Hip Injury |
| J. Rowe | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| O. El Azzouzi | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
| S. Mbangula | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| A. Dovbyk | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| R. Piccoli | Missing Fixture | Hamstring Injury |
| R. Orsolini | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
| J. Odgaard | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
| N. Casale | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
Monzasnapshot 2026-10-25
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| C. Ngonge | Missing Fixture | Lacking Match Fitness |
| M. Pessina | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| D. Mota | Missing Fixture | Suspended |
| D. Thiam | Missing Fixture | Yellow Cards |
| P. Ciurria | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| I. Toure | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| E. Zeballos | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| G. Varela | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
| L. Lucchesi | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| J. Ziolkowski | Missing Fixture | Foot Injury |
| L. Colombo | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| E. Akinsanmiro | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| Y. Maye | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| C. Ngonge | Missing Fixture | Lacking Match Fitness |
| M. Pessina | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
Each side's list carries its OWN capture date. A confirmed starting XI overrides an older snapshot; player names are shown as returned, impact is NOT scored (that would be invention).
Signal ledger
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Grounded team-news brief
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Module freshness: odds snapshot 26 Oct, 08:07 · model run 26 Oct, 08:07 · injury snapshot 2026-10-25
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
More Serie A - Italy fixtures
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Frequently asked questions
When do Bologna play Monza?
Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 14:00 UK time in the Serie A - Italy.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 26 October at 08:07 UK time. · engine slate assembled 15 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.