B

Bologna

Serie A - Italy·15 of 20 in the table·1 points·Renato Dall'Ara

Next match Napoli v Bologna Sun 13 Sept, 17:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Bologna — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

2 Upcoming3 Results held

Model Strength

69

Strong

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

96.8%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

Not enough data

this club has no priced fixtures in the stored competition

Fixtures Analysed

3

Held

Next fixtures

2 priced

Sun 13 Sept17:00 Napoli A — 5.20Smarkets — Sat 19 Sept14:00 Torino H — 1.94Grosvenor —

Form

last 3

DLL 1 pts from 3

H Sassuolo 2–2 -0.7

A Atalanta 0–1 —

H Lazio 0–1 -1.7

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (3 matches) Model expected (3 priced) Ahead Behind

-2.4 points against the model's expectation over the 3 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Shots faced 10.3 #3 of 20

Possession 59.7% #3 of 20

Shots 17 #6 of 20

Weaknesses

Goals scored 0.67 #14 of 20

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 0.67 #14 of 20

Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots 17 #6 of 20

On target 4.3 #10 of 20

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 1.33 #10 of 20

Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots faced 10.3 #3 of 20

Clean sheets 0 #13 of 20

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

0%

Scored before half time

of 2 goals

50%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 2 goals

0%

From the penalty spot

of 2 goals

25%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 4 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 3 stored fixtures (6 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

SA Serie A - Italy 2 fixtures on the snapshot · full table

#15

Position

1

Points from 3 played

-2

Goal difference

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts
13	Torino	3	-1	3
14	Lecce	3	-3	3
15	Bologna	3	-2	1
16	Parma	3	-3	1
17	Monza	3	-4	1

Bologna and its immediate neighbours in the stored table.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Sun 13 Sept17:00in 45h 24m
   Napoli Bologna

   SA

   Regular Season - 4
   not modelled
   model building
   —
2. Sat 19 Sept14:00in 8d
   Bologna Torino

   SA

   Regular Season - 5
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Transfers (last 4 recorded)

League position (stored standings)

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