B

Bologna

Serie A - Italy·13 of 20 in the table·8 points·Renato Dall'Ara

Next match AC Milan v Bologna Wed 28 Oct, 17:30

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Bologna — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

2 Upcoming8 Results held

Model Strength

73.1

Strong

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

97.3%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

12th

of 20 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

8

Held

Next fixtures

2 priced

Wed 28 Oct17:30 AC Milan A — 5.90Betfair Exchange — Sat 31 Oct14:00 Monza H — 1.75Unibet —

Form

last 6

WLWDLD 8 pts from 6

A Cagliari 2–0 +1.8

H Inter 1–3 -1.0

A Lecce 2–1 +1.6

H Torino 1–1 -0.6

A Napoli 0–1 -0.7

H Sassuolo 2–2 -0.7

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (8 matches) Model expected (8 priced) Ahead Behind

-1.3 points against the model's expectation over the 8 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Expected goals against 1.21 #5 of 20

Shots faced 12.4 #6 of 20

Goals conceded 1.25 #7 of 20

Weaknesses

Shots 12.3 #15 of 20

Goals scored 1 #16 of 20

Expected goals for 1.15 #16 of 20

Shots on target 3.8 #16 of 20

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 1 #16 of 20

Expected goals 1.15 #16 of 20

Shots 12.3 #15 of 20

On target 3.8 #16 of 20

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 1.25 #7 of 20

Expected against 1.21 #5 of 20

Shots faced 12.4 #6 of 20

Clean sheets 1 #12 of 20

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

38%

Scored before half time

of 8 goals

38%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 8 goals

13%

From the penalty spot

of 8 goals

30%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 10 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 8 stored fixtures (18 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

SA Serie A - Italy 2 fixtures on the snapshot · full table

#13

Position

8

Points from 8 played

-2

Goal difference

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts
11	Atalanta	7	-1	9
12	Lecce	7	-3	9
13	Bologna	8	-2	8
14	Sassuolo	8	-4	8
15	Monza	8	-3	7

Bologna and its immediate neighbours in the stored table.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Wed 28 Oct17:30in 39h 01m
   AC Milan Bologna

   SA

   Regular Season - 9
   not modelled
   model building
   —
2. Sat 31 Oct14:00in 4d
   Bologna Monza

   SA

   Regular Season - 10
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

League position (stored standings)

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