L

Lecce

Serie A - Italy·12 of 20 in the table·9 points·Via del Mare

Next match Frosinone v Lecce Thu 29 Oct, 17:30

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Lecce — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

2 Upcoming8 Results held

Model Strength

74.2

Strong

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

97.4%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

19th

of 20 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

8

Held

Next fixtures

2 priced

Thu 29 Oct17:30 Frosinone A — 4.90Smarkets — Sun 1 Nov17:00 Genoa H — 2.75Betfred —

Form

last 6

LWLLWL 6 pts from 6

H Juventus 0–2 -0.6

A Udinese 3–0 +2.3

H Bologna 1–2 -1.3

A AC Milan 0–3 -0.4

H Monza 3–2 +1.5

A Cagliari 0–1 -0.9

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (8 matches) Model expected (8 priced) Ahead Behind

+2.3 points against the model's expectation over the 8 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Weaknesses

Goals scored 1.13 #15 of 20

Expected goals against 1.9 #15 of 20

Shots 11.8 #16 of 20

Possession 40.4% #20 of 20

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 1.13 #15 of 20

Expected goals 1.49 #10 of 20

Shots 11.8 #16 of 20

On target 4.6 #12 of 20

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 1.75 #13 of 20

Expected against 1.9 #15 of 20

Shots faced 14 #9 of 20

Clean sheets 2 #10 of 20

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

56%

Scored before half time

of 9 goals

22%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 9 goals

0%

From the penalty spot

of 9 goals

14%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 14 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 8 stored fixtures (23 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

SA Serie A - Italy 2 fixtures on the snapshot · full table

#12

Position

9

Points from 7 played

-3

Goal difference

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts
10	Juventus	7	1	11
11	Atalanta	7	-1	9
12	Lecce	7	-3	9
13	Bologna	8	-2	8
14	Sassuolo	8	-4	8

Lecce and its immediate neighbours in the stored table.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Thu 29 Oct17:30in 3d
   Frosinone Lecce

   SA

   Regular Season - 9
   not modelled
   model building
   —
2. Sun 1 Nov17:00in 6d
   Lecce Genoa

   SA

   Regular Season - 10
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Transfers (last 5 recorded)

League position (stored standings)

Explore