Lecce v Genoa — Serie A - Italy prediction, odds and analysis
SAAt a glance
Model edge
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Fair price
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Model prob
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Reliability
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qualification
LeccevGenoa
Sun 1 Nov, 17:00Lecce2.75Betfred (UK)
Draw3.20Betfred (UK)
Genoa2.70Unibet (UK)
Best captured price per outcome · 14 bookmakers · prices observed 15 h ago
RESEARCH ONLY
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: Stadio Via del Mare, LecceKickoff weather: 15.7°C · rain 0 mm · wind 16.4 kph
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Pricing board
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Recorded price movement
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Match flow
No event timeline is held for this fixture yet.
Goals, cards and substitutions arrive with the in-play sweep and the post-match pass.
Timeline and match statistics
Match statistics start at kick-off
there is nothing to count until the match is under way
The model's expected goals for this fixture are in the Model tab.
Form and league position
LWWLLL
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.08 / 1.58 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% |
| Both teams scored | 25% |
| Clean sheets | 25% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | vs Juventus (H) | 0-2 | L |
| 2026-10-18 | at Udinese (A) | 3-0 | W |
| 2026-10-18 | at Udinese Calcio (A) | 3-0 | W |
| 2026-10-11 | vs Bologna (H) | 1-2 | L |
| 2026-10-11 | vs Bologna FC 1909 (H) | 1-2 | L |
WLWLLW
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 0.92 / 1.42 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 42% |
| Clean sheets | 17% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | vs Venezia (H) | 1-0 | W |
| 2026-10-17 | at AS Roma (A) | 0-2 | L |
| 2026-10-10 | vs Fiorentina (H) | 2-1 | W |
| 2026-10-02 | at Rapid (A) | 0-2 | L |
| 2026-09-20 | at Parma (A) | 1-2 | L |
League standings 2026–27
| Team | Pos | Pts | P | GD | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lecce | 12 | 9 | 7 | -3 | WLLWL |
| Genoa | 17 | 4 | 7 | -8 | LWLDL |
Lecce: 13 pts behind 1st · 6 pts above 20th
Genoa: 18 pts behind 1st · 1 pt above 20th
From the engine's stored standings snapshot · API-Football · updated 2026-10-25.
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
Recent meetings
Lecce 1 win2 drawsGenoa 3avg 2.3 goalsBTTS 67%Over 2.5 in 67%
small sample — 6 meetings held; context, not a pattern claim
| Date | Match | Score | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-14 | Genoa v Lecce | 2-1 | Serie A |
| 2025-01-05 | Lecce v Genoa | 0-0 | Serie A |
| 2024-01-28 | Genoa v Lecce | 2-1 | Serie A |
| 2023-09-22 | Lecce v Genoa | 1-0 | Serie A |
| 2020-07-19 | Genoa v Lecce | 2-1 | Serie A |
| 2019-12-08 | Lecce v Genoa | 2-2 | Serie A |
Prior meetings held in the engine's results archive, newest first. The archive is what the model trains on, so a meeting missing here was never ingested — it is not a claim the game was not played.
Starting elevens
Line-ups not released
clubs confirm an XI about an hour before kick-off
Squad availability and reported absences are below.
Injuries and absences
Leccesnapshot 2026-10-25
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| W. Geubbels | Missing Fixture | Ankle Injury |
| L. Coulibaly | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
| S. Pierotti | Missing Fixture | Ankle Injury |
| I. Ilic | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
| L. Banda | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| O. Gandelman | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| N. Stulic | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| M. Berisha | Questionable | Thigh Injury |
| Tiago Gabriel | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| W. Geubbels | Missing Fixture | Ankle Injury |
| L. Coulibaly | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
| I. Ilic | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
| L. Banda | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| O. Gandelman | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| N. Stulic | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
Genoasnapshot 2026-10-25
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| D. Sow | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
| H. J. Traore | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| J. Vasquez | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| C. Drameh | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| E. Havel | Missing Fixture | Ankle Injury |
| L. Colombo | Questionable | Ankle Injury |
| T. Baldanzi | Questionable | Illness |
| Amorim | Missing Fixture | Ankle Injury |
| L. Venturino | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| F. Meichtry | Questionable | Muscle Injury |
| D. Sow | Questionable | Injury |
| H. J. Traore | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| J. Vasquez | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| C. Drameh | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| E. Havel | Questionable | Ankle Injury |
Each side's list carries its OWN capture date. A confirmed starting XI overrides an older snapshot; player names are shown as returned, impact is NOT scored (that would be invention).
Signal ledger
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Grounded team-news brief
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Module freshness: odds snapshot 26 Oct, 08:07 · model run 26 Oct, 08:07 · injury snapshot 2026-10-25
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
More Serie A - Italy fixtures
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Frequently asked questions
When do Lecce play Genoa?
Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 17:00 UK time in the Serie A - Italy.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 26 October at 08:07 UK time. · engine slate assembled 15 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.