S

Sassuolo

Serie A - Italy·14 of 20 in the table·8 points·Mapei Stadium

Next match Sassuolo v Lazio Tue 27 Oct, 17:30

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Sassuolo — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

2 Upcoming8 Results held

Model Strength

68.2

Strong

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

97.2%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

16th

of 20 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

8

Held

Next fixtures

2 priced

Tue 27 Oct17:30 Lazio H — 3.50Smarkets — Mon 2 Nov17:30 Fiorentina H — 2.50Betfred —

Form

last 6

LLDLWD 5 pts from 6

A Como 0–2 -1.2

A Frosinone 2–4 -1.6

H AC Milan 1–1 -0.1

A Monza 1–2 -1.3

H Juventus 3–2 +2.2

A Bologna 2–2 0.0

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (8 matches) Model expected (8 priced) Ahead Behind

+0.5 points against the model's expectation over the 8 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Shots on target 5.6 #6 of 20

Weaknesses

Goals conceded 2 #16 of 20

Clean sheets 0 #18 of 20

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 1.5 #11 of 20

Expected goals 1.41 #12 of 20

Shots 14.6 #9 of 20

On target 5.6 #6 of 20

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 2 #16 of 20

Expected against 1.4 #10 of 20

Shots faced 15.5 #11 of 20

Clean sheets 0 #18 of 20

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

33%

Scored before half time

of 12 goals

33%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 12 goals

0%

From the penalty spot

of 12 goals

19%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 16 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 8 stored fixtures (28 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

SA Serie A - Italy 2 fixtures on the snapshot · full table

#14

Position

8

Points from 8 played

-4

Goal difference

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts
12	Lecce	7	-3	9
13	Bologna	8	-2	8
14	Sassuolo	8	-4	8
15	Monza	8	-3	7
16	Udinese	7	-7	4

Sassuolo and its immediate neighbours in the stored table.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Tue 27 Oct17:30in 17h 04m
   Sassuolo Lazio

   SA

   Regular Season - 9
   not modelled
   model building
   —
2. Mon 2 Nov17:30in 7d
   Sassuolo Fiorentina

   SA

   Regular Season - 10
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

League position (stored standings)

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