U

Udinese

Serie A - Italy·16 of 20 in the table·4 points·Bluenergy Stadium

Next match Parma v Udinese Wed 28 Oct, 17:30

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Udinese — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

2 Upcoming8 Results held

Model Strength

69.4

Strong

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

97.3%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

11th

of 20 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

8

Held

Next fixtures

2 priced

Wed 28 Oct17:30 Parma A — 2.64Betfair Exchange — Sat 31 Oct17:00 AS Roma H — 5.50Betfred —

Form

last 6

LLLLLL 0 pts from 6

H AC Milan 0–2 -1.2

H Lecce 0–3 -2.0

A Torino 1–2 -1.1

H Cagliari 0–1 -1.8

A Inter 3–5 -0.6

H Lazio 1–2 -1.3

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (8 matches) Model expected (8 priced) Ahead Behind

-6.0 points against the model's expectation over the 8 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Weaknesses

Goals scored 1.13 #14 of 20

Shots on target 4 #15 of 20

Shots faced 16.8 #16 of 20

Expected goals for 1.13 #17 of 20

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 1.13 #14 of 20

Expected goals 1.13 #17 of 20

Shots 14 #11 of 20

On target 4 #15 of 20

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 2.25 #19 of 20

Expected against 2.47 #20 of 20

Shots faced 16.8 #16 of 20

Clean sheets 0 #20 of 20

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

78%

Scored before half time

of 9 goals

11%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 9 goals

0%

From the penalty spot

of 9 goals

22%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 18 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 8 stored fixtures (27 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

SA Serie A - Italy 2 fixtures on the snapshot · full table

#16

Position

4

Points from 7 played

-7

Goal difference

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts
14	Sassuolo	8	-4	8
15	Monza	8	-3	7
16	Udinese	7	-7	4
17	Genoa	7	-8	4
18	Fiorentina	7	-9	4

Udinese and its immediate neighbours in the stored table.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Wed 28 Oct17:30in 39h 01m
   Parma Udinese

   SA

   Regular Season - 9
   not modelled
   model building
   —
2. Sat 31 Oct17:00in 5d
   Udinese AS Roma

   SA

   Regular Season - 10
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

League position (stored standings)

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