F

Fiorentina

Serie A - Italy·20 of 20 in the table·0 points·Artemio Franchi

Next match Venezia v Fiorentina Fri 11 Sept, 19:45

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Fiorentina — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

3 Upcoming3 Results held

Model Strength

77

Strong

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

96.9%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

Not enough data

this club has no priced fixtures in the stored competition

Fixtures Analysed

3

Held

Next fixtures

3 priced

Fri 11 Sept19:45 Venezia A — 2.62Betfair Exchange — Tue 15 Sept20:00 Pisa H — no price — Sun 20 Sept11:30 Napoli H — 3.45Betfair Exchange —

Form

last 3

LLL 0 pts from 3

H Torino 1–2 -1.9

H Frosinone 0–3 —

A AS Roma 0–4 -0.8

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (3 matches) Model expected (3 priced) Ahead Behind

-2.7 points against the model's expectation over the 3 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Shots 16 #7 of 20

Shots on target 4.7 #7 of 20

Weaknesses

Goals scored 0.33 #18 of 20

Goals conceded 3 #20 of 20

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 0.33 #18 of 20

Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots 16 #7 of 20

On target 4.7 #7 of 20

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 3 #20 of 20

Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots faced 12 #8 of 20

Clean sheets 0 #11 of 20

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

0%

Scored before half time

of 1 goals

0%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 1 goals

0%

From the penalty spot

of 1 goals

22%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 9 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 3 stored fixtures (10 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

SA Serie A - Italy 3 fixtures on the snapshot · full table

#20

Position

0

Points from 3 played

-8

Goal difference

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts
18	Venezia	3	-5	0
19	Genoa	3	-6	0
20	Fiorentina	3	-8	0

Fiorentina and its immediate neighbours in the stored table.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Fri 11 Sept19:45in 9m
   Venezia Fiorentina

   SA

   Regular Season - 4
   not modelled
   model building
   —
2. Tue 15 Sept20:00in 4d
   Fiorentina Pisa

   CI

   Round of 32
   not modelled
   model building
   —
3. Sun 20 Sept11:30in 9d
   Fiorentina Napoli

   SA

   Regular Season - 5
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

League position (stored standings)

Explore