V

Venezia

Serie A - Italy·20 of 20 in the table·3 points·Stadio Pierluigi Penzo

Next match Venezia v Inter Milan Wed 28 Oct, 17:30

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Venezia — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

2 Upcoming8 Results held

Model Strength

79.1

Strong

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

97.4%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

1 settled call on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

18th

of 20 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

8

Held

Next fixtures

2 priced

Wed 28 Oct17:30 Inter Milan H — 9.80Matchbook — Sun 1 Nov11:30 Como A — 8.00Betfred —

Form

last 6

LWLLLL 3 pts from 6

A Genoa 0–1 -0.8

H Napoli 1–0 +2.2

A Atalanta 1–3 -0.6

H Lazio 0–2 -0.9

H Fiorentina 2–4 -1.0

A Frosinone 2–3 -1.2

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (8 matches) Model expected (8 priced) Ahead Behind

-3.8 points against the model's expectation over the 8 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Possession 54.3% #6 of 20

Weaknesses

Shots faced 16.1 #14 of 20

Clean sheets 1 #16 of 20

Goals conceded 2.13 #17 of 20

Points over model expectation -3.8 #17 of 20

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 0.75 #19 of 20

Expected goals 1.52 #8 of 20

Shots 14.8 #8 of 20

On target 4.5 #13 of 20

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 2.13 #17 of 20

Expected against 2.12 #18 of 20

Shots faced 16.1 #14 of 20

Clean sheets 1 #16 of 20

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

38%

Scored before half time

of 8 goals

25%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 8 goals

13%

From the penalty spot

of 8 goals

18%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 17 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 8 stored fixtures (25 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

SA Serie A - Italy 2 fixtures on the snapshot · full table

#20

Position

3

Points from 7 played

-10

Goal difference

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts
18	Fiorentina	7	-9	4
19	Parma	8	-10	4
20	Venezia	7	-10	3

Venezia and its immediate neighbours in the stored table.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Wed 28 Oct17:30in 41h 46m
   Venezia Inter Milan

   SA

   Regular Season - 9
   not modelled
   model building
   —
2. Sun 1 Nov11:30in 5d
   Como Venezia

   SA

   Regular Season - 10
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

League position (stored standings)

Graded calls — from the public ledger

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