V

Venezia

Serie A - Italy·18 of 20 in the table·0 points·Stadio Pierluigi Penzo

Next match Venezia v Fiorentina Fri 11 Sept, 19:45

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Venezia — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

2 Upcoming3 Results held

Model Strength

Not enough data

the model has priced 0 of this club's fixtures; 3 are needed

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

96.8%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

Not enough data

this club has no priced fixtures in the stored competition

Fixtures Analysed

3

Held

Next fixtures

2 priced

Fri 11 Sept19:45 Fiorentina H — 2.96Betfair Exchange — Sat 19 Sept19:45 Lazio H — 3.15Betfair Exchange —

Form

last 3

LLL 0 pts from 3

A Frosinone 2–3 -1.2

A AC Milan 0–2 —

H Lecce 0–2 -1.6

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (3 matches) Model expected (3 priced) Ahead Behind

-2.7 points against the model's expectation over the 3 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Possession 58% #5 of 20

Weaknesses

Goals scored 0.67 #16 of 20

Goals conceded 2.33 #18 of 20

Clean sheets 0 #20 of 20

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 0.67 #16 of 20

Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots 14.3 #10 of 20

On target 4.3 #13 of 20

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 2.33 #18 of 20

Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots faced 13.7 #10 of 20

Clean sheets 0 #20 of 20

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

0%

Scored before half time

of 3 goals

33%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 3 goals

0%

From the penalty spot

of 3 goals

33%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 6 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 3 stored fixtures (9 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

SA Serie A - Italy 2 fixtures on the snapshot · full table

#18

Position

0

Points from 3 played

-5

Goal difference

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts
16	Parma	3	-3	1
17	Monza	3	-4	1
18	Venezia	3	-5	0
19	Genoa	3	-6	0
20	Fiorentina	3	-8	0

Venezia and its immediate neighbours in the stored table.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Fri 11 Sept19:45in 9m
   Venezia Fiorentina

   SA

   Regular Season - 4
   not modelled
   model building
   —
2. Sat 19 Sept19:45in 8d
   Venezia Lazio

   SA

   Regular Season - 5
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Transfers (last 7 recorded)

League position (stored standings)

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