Brighton and Hove Albion v Brentford — EPL prediction, odds and analysis
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Model edge
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Fair price
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Model prob
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Reliability
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qualification
Brighton and Hove AlbionvBrentford
Sun 8 Nov, 14:00Brighton and Hove Albion1.98Betfair
Draw4.00Betfred (UK)
Brentford3.80Betfair
Best captured price per outcome · 15 bookmakers · prices observed 21 h ago
RESEARCH ONLY
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: Amex Stadium, Brighton
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Pricing board
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Recorded price movement
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Match flow
No event timeline is held for this fixture yet.
Goals, cards and substitutions arrive with the in-play sweep and the post-match pass.
Timeline and match statistics
Match statistics start at kick-off
there is nothing to count until the match is under way
The model's expected goals for this fixture are in the Model tab.
Form and league position
WDLDWW
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 2.58 / 0.58 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% |
| Both teams scored | 25% |
| Clean sheets | 67% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-31 | at Manchester City (A) | 1-0 | W |
| 2026-10-28 | at Manchester City (A) | 2-2 | D |
| 2026-10-25 | at Liverpool (A) | 0-2 | L |
| 2026-10-22 | at FK Jablonec (A) | 0-0 | D |
| 2026-10-18 | vs Crystal Palace (H) | 5-0 | W |
WLDLDW
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 2.17 / 1.17 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 75% |
| Clean sheets | 25% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-31 | vs Nottingham Forest (H) | 2-0 | W |
| 2026-10-28 | at Sunderland (A) | 2-3 | L |
| 2026-10-25 | at Hull City (A) | 1-1 | D |
| 2026-10-17 | vs Liverpool (H) | 1-2 | L |
| 2026-10-10 | at Aston Villa (A) | 2-2 | D |
League standings 2026–27
| Team | Pos | Pts | P | GD | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton and Hove Albion | 3 | 16 | 8 | +16 | LWWWW |
| Brentford | 6 | 11 | 8 | +5 | DLDWD |
Brighton and Hove Albion: 5 pts behind 1st · 11 pts above 20th
Brentford: 10 pts behind 1st · 6 pts above 20th
From the engine's stored standings snapshot · API-Football · updated 2026-10-31.
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
Recent meetings
Brighton and Hove Albion 2 wins3 drawsBrentford 1avg 1.8 goalsBTTS 33%Over 2.5 in 33%
small sample — 6 meetings held; context, not a pattern claim
| Date | Match | Score | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-21 | Brentford FC v Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 0-2 | Premier League |
| 2025-11-22 | Brighton & Hove Albion FC v Brentford FC | 2-1 | Premier League |
| 2025-04-19 | Brentford v Brighton | 4-2 | Premier League |
| 2024-12-27 | Brighton v Brentford | 0-0 | Premier League |
| 2024-04-03 | Brentford FC v Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 0-0 | Premier League |
| 2024-04-03 | Brentford v Brighton | 0-0 | season-2324 |
Prior meetings held in the engine's results archive, newest first. The archive is what the model trains on, so a meeting missing here was never ingested — it is not a claim the game was not played.
Starting elevens
Line-ups not released
clubs confirm an XI about an hour before kick-off
Squad availability and reported absences are below.
Injuries and absences
Brighton and Hove Albionsnapshot 2026-10-31
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| F. Kadioglu | Questionable | Hip Injury |
| M. Svoboda | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| M. O'Riley | Missing Fixture | Illness |
| P. Struijk | Missing Fixture | Rest |
| G. Rutter | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| M. Wieffer | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| K. Mitoma | Missing Fixture | Hamstring Injury |
| E. Ferguson | Missing Fixture | Ankle Injury |
| F. Azeez | Missing Fixture | Abdominal strain |
| J. Hinshelwood | Missing Fixture | Ankle Injury |
| S. Tzimas | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| Y. Minteh | Missing Fixture | Leg Injury |
| C. Andres | Questionable | Muscle Injury |
| Z. Yohanna | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| M. Orozco | Missing Fixture | Injury |
Brentfordsnapshot 2026-10-31
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| M. Damsgaard | Missing Fixture | Ankle Injury |
| R. Henry | Missing Fixture | Hip Injury |
| J. Dasilva | Questionable | Muscle Injury |
| N. Collins | Missing Fixture | Calf Injury |
| V. Janelt | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| S. van den Berg | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| M. Jensen | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| F. Carvalho | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| Y. Yarmolyuk | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| A. Milambo | Questionable | Knock |
| K. Furo | Missing Fixture | Surgery |
| J. Schuster | Missing Fixture | Ankle Injury |
| M. Damsgaard | Missing Fixture | Ankle Injury |
| J. Dasilva | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| N. Collins | Missing Fixture | Calf Injury |
Each side's list carries its OWN capture date. A confirmed starting XI overrides an older snapshot; player names are shown as returned, impact is NOT scored (that would be invention).
Signal ledger
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Grounded team-news brief
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Module freshness: odds snapshot 31 Oct, 08:00 · model run 25 Oct, 00:53 · injury snapshot 2026-10-31
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
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Frequently asked questions
When do Brighton and Hove Albion play Brentford?
Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 14:00 UK time in the EPL.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 31 October at 08:00 UK time. · engine slate assembled 21 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.