The model’s probability for each outcome beside the market’s devigged fair probability.
Data unavailable
The model has not produced a read for this fixture, so no comparison is drawn.
Outcome
Model prob
Fair odds
Best price
Edge vs fair
Celta Fortuna
—
—
3.50
—
Draw
—
—
3.20
—
SD Eibar
—
—
2.25
—
Totals (2.5 goals line)
Outcome
Best price
Over 2.5
2.05
Under 2.5
1.71
Bookmaker board — who holds each price
Bookmaker
Celta Fortuna
Draw
SD Eibar
Betway
3.50BEST
2.90
2.25BEST
BoyleSports
3.25
2.90
2.10
Coral
3.20
3.00
2.10
Ladbrokes
3.20
3.00
2.10
Bet Victor
3.12
3.20BEST
2.15
Betano (UK)
3.12
3.20BEST
2.15
Betfred (UK)
3.10
3.10
2.25BEST
William Hill
3.10
3.00
2.20
Paddy Power
3.00
3.00
2.20
Casumo
3.00
3.15
2.23
Grosvenor
3.00
3.15
2.23
Smarkets
2.98
2.82
2.10
Virgin Bet
2.95
3.10
2.20
Sky Bet
2.90
2.90
2.15
LiveScore Bet
2.90
3.05
2.17
15 bookmakers · real captured prices · prices observed 13 h ago · BEST marks the market-best price for each outcome. Availability varies by region.
Sharp reference (raw): 3.702.892.30 — the line our fair odds devig from.
Recorded price movement
Recorded price movement
1X2 · Celta Fortuna — best available price against the devigged fair line.
Metric Decimal oddsSample 2Source recorded odds snapshots
Best price — Celta Fortuna
Fewer than 5 settled results — a rate would be noise, so none is shown.
Every point is a real recorded observation. The line steps because a price holds until it is next seen to change — a sloped line would draw prices that were never observed. A break in the line is a period with no observations, not a flat one.
Best price — Celta Fortuna: 2 observations, 3.25 → 3.50
Show the numbers
Observed
Series
Price
11 Sept, 07:03
Best price — Celta Fortuna
3.50
8 Sept, 07:07
Best price — Celta Fortuna
3.25
More about this fixture
other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 11 September at 08:02 UK time. · engine slate assembled 13 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
Sign in to open match intelligence
Model probabilities, fair odds, price movement and the grounded brief for every fixture — free with an account. One email, no card.
A free account unlocks:
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.
LAL