The model’s probability for each outcome beside the market’s devigged fair probability.
Data unavailable
The model has not produced a read for this fixture, so no comparison is drawn.
Outcome
Model prob
Fair odds
Best price
Edge vs fair
Cray Wanderers FC
—
—
15.50
—
Draw
—
—
9.40
—
Stockport County FC
—
—
1.20
—
Bookmaker board — who holds each price
Bookmaker
Cray Wanderers FC
Draw
Stockport County FC
Smarkets
15.50BEST
9.00
1.19
Betfair
15.00
9.40BEST
1.19
Matchbook
14.50
8.80
1.20BEST
Grosvenor
14.00
7.50
1.16
Casumo
14.00
7.50
1.16
Betfair Sportsbook
14.00
8.00
1.14
BoyleSports
13.00
7.00
1.17
888sport
13.00
6.50
1.17
William Hill
13.00
6.50
1.17
Paddy Power
13.00
7.50
1.12
LiveScore Bet
13.00
7.00
1.12
Virgin Bet
13.00
7.00
1.12
Betfred (UK)
12.00
6.50
1.12
Betway
12.00
8.00
1.17
Unibet (UK)
12.00
7.50
1.17
Sky Bet
11.00
7.00
1.13
Ladbrokes
11.00
7.00
1.18
17 bookmakers · real captured prices · prices observed 5 d ago · BEST marks the market-best price for each outcome. Availability varies by region.
Sharp reference (raw): 12.457.641.16 — the line our fair odds devig from.
Recorded price movement
Recorded price movement
1X2 · Cray Wanderers FC — best available price against the devigged fair line.
Metric Decimal oddsSample 4Source recorded odds snapshots
Best price — Cray Wanderers FC
Fewer than 5 settled results — a rate would be noise, so none is shown.
Every point is a real recorded observation. The line steps because a price holds until it is next seen to change — a sloped line would draw prices that were never observed. A break in the line is a period with no observations, not a flat one.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 12 November at 08:06 UK time. · engine slate assembled 5 d ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
Sign in to open match intelligence
Model probabilities, fair odds, price movement and the grounded brief for every fixture — free with an account. One email, no card.
A free account unlocks:
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.