Groningen v Sparta Rotterdam — Dutch Eredivisie prediction, odds and analysis
EREAt a glance
Model edge
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Fair price
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Model prob
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Reliability
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qualification
GroningenvSparta Rotterdam
Sun 1 Nov, 15:45Groningen1.73888sport
Draw4.33Coral
Sparta Rotterdam4.30Casumo
Best captured price per outcome · 19 bookmakers · prices observed 15 h ago
RESEARCH ONLY
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: Euroborg, GroningenKickoff weather: 12.1°C · rain 0 mm · wind 17.6 kph
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Pricing board
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Recorded price movement
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Match flow
No event timeline is held for this fixture yet.
Goals, cards and substitutions arrive with the in-play sweep and the post-match pass.
Timeline and match statistics
Match statistics start at kick-off
there is nothing to count until the match is under way
The model's expected goals for this fixture are in the Model tab.
Form and league position
DLWWWW
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 2.5 / 2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 92% |
| Both teams scored | 83% |
| Clean sheets | 17% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | at NEC Nijmegen (A) | 2-2 | D |
| 2026-10-18 | vs Ajax (H) | 2-5 | L |
| 2026-10-11 | at Excelsior (A) | 5-1 | W |
| 2026-10-11 | at SBV Excelsior (A) | 5-1 | W |
| 2026-09-18 | vs PEC Zwolle (H) | 3-0 | W |
LWWDLL
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.92 / 2.42 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 92% |
| Clean sheets | 0% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | vs Ajax (H) | 1-2 | L |
| 2026-10-17 | vs Willem II (H) | 3-2 | W |
| 2026-10-17 | vs Willem II Tilburg (H) | 3-2 | W |
| 2026-10-10 | at GO Ahead Eagles (A) | 3-3 | D |
| 2026-09-19 | vs Heerenveen (H) | 0-4 | L |
League standings 2026–27
| Team | Pos | Pts | P | GD | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Groningen | 8 | 15 | 10 | +3 | |
| Sparta Rotterdam | 14 | 9 | 10 | -7 |
Groningen: 9 pts behind 1st · 13 pts above 18th
Sparta Rotterdam: 15 pts behind 1st · 7 pts above 18th
From the engine's stored standings snapshot · football-data.org · updated 2026-10-26.
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
Recent meetings
Groningen 1 win0 drawsSparta Rotterdam 5avg 2.3 goalsBTTS 17%Over 2.5 in 33%
small sample — 6 meetings held; context, not a pattern claim
| Date | Match | Score | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | Sparta Rotterdam v FC Groningen | 2-0 | Eredivisie |
| 2025-10-19 | FC Groningen v Sparta Rotterdam | 0-2 | Eredivisie |
| 2025-02-02 | Sparta Rotterdam v Groningen | 1-0 | Eredivisie |
| 2024-11-09 | Groningen v Sparta Rotterdam | 1-0 | Eredivisie |
| 2023-05-28 | Groningen v Sparta Rotterdam | 0-5 | Eredivisie |
| 2022-09-17 | Sparta Rotterdam v Groningen | 2-1 | Eredivisie |
Prior meetings held in the engine's results archive, newest first. The archive is what the model trains on, so a meeting missing here was never ingested — it is not a claim the game was not played.
Starting elevens
Line-ups not released
clubs confirm an XI about an hour before kick-off
Squad availability and reported absences are below.
Injuries and absences
No recent injury snapshot for these teams.
Availability snapshots are captured daily for covered leagues; a fixture outside those
competitions won't have one — that is a coverage statement, not "no injuries".
Signal ledger
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Grounded team-news brief
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Module freshness: odds snapshot 26 Oct, 08:07 · model run 20 Oct, 07:20
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
More Dutch Eredivisie fixtures
Feyenoord v Fortuna SittardPSV Eindhoven v Willem IIHeerenveen v NEC NijmegenSC Cambuur v Go Ahead EaglesAjax v AZ AlkmaarFC Zwolle v ADO Den Haag
Frequently asked questions
When do Groningen play Sparta Rotterdam?
Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 15:45 UK time in the Dutch Eredivisie.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 26 October at 08:07 UK time. · engine slate assembled 15 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.