KV Mechelen v Anderlecht — Belgium First Div prediction, odds and analysis
At a glance
Model edge
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Fair price
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Model prob
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Reliability
—
qualification
KV MechelenvAnderlecht
Fri 11 Sept, 19:45KV Mechelen4.50Smarkets
Draw3.95Smarkets
Anderlecht1.89Smarkets
Best captured price per outcome · 19 bookmakers · prices observed 12 h ago
RESEARCH VIEW
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: Achter de Kazerne, Mechelen
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Pricing board
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Recorded price movement
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Match flow
No event timeline is held for this fixture yet.
Goals, cards and substitutions arrive with the in-play sweep and the post-match pass.
Timeline and match statistics
Match statistics start at kick-off
there is nothing to count until the match is under way
The model's expected goals for this fixture are in the Model tab.
Form and league position
LLDLDL
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.08 / 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% |
| Both teams scored | 33% |
| Clean sheets | 25% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | vs KVC Westerlo (H) | 0-4 | L |
| 2026-09-05 | vs Westerlo (H) | 0-4 | L |
| 2026-08-29 | at RAAL La Louvière (A) | 2-2 | D |
| 2026-08-22 | at Charleroi (A) | 0-2 | L |
| 2026-08-16 | vs Standard Liege (H) | 3-3 | D |
DWLWWL
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.5 / 0.75 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 33% |
| Clean sheets | 50% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | vs Genk (H) | 0-0 | D |
| 2026-09-03 | vs Kortrijk (H) | 1-0 | W |
| 2026-08-30 | at Union St. Gilloise (A) | 0-3 | L |
| 2026-08-27 | vs Kairat Almaty (H) | 3-0 | W |
| 2026-08-20 | at Kairat Almaty (A) | 3-0 | W |
Key players (this season, by minutes)
| Player | Apps | Mins | G | A | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 A. Maamar Defender |
3 | 270 | 0 | 1 | — | 6.9 |
 C. Coosemans Goalkeeper |
3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | — | 6.6 |
 G. Biancone Defender |
3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | 2Y | 7.4 |
 L. Pétrot Defender |
3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | — | 6.9 |
 L. Ambros Midfielder |
3 | 259 | 0 | 0 | — | 7.3 |
League standings
No stored table rows for either side yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected. no standings rows held for either side.
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
No prior meetings in the archive
The engine's results archive holds no completed fixture between these two sides.
Team form and league position are on the Teams tab; the model does not use head-to-head as an input.
Starting elevens
Team sheets as announced 2026-09-11 18:30 — positions are the provider's own, never predicted.
3-4-1-2
| 13 | Nacho Mirás | G |
| 44 | M. Eerdhuijzen | D |
| 2 | L. Marijnissen | D |
| 3 | José Marsà | D |
| 30 | Marco Decherf | M |
| 6 | F. Hammar | M |
| 26 | D. Praet | M |
| 7 | T. Koudou | M |
| 23 | S. Michez | M |
| 28 | Bouke Boersma | F |
| 9 | M. van Brederode | F |
Bench
20 K. Corbanie D · 11 B. Bafdili M · 38 B. Antonio F · 1 O. De Wolf G · 39 M. Decoene M · 10 M. Kireev M · 19 M. Lohunanu-Mbasi F · 14 B. Raman F · 17 C. Van Meirvenne F · 21 H. Özdemir F
Coach Frédéric Vanderbiest — from the announced team sheet
4-4-2
| 26 | C. Coosemans | G |
| 79 | A. Maamar | D |
| 4 | G. Biancone | D |
| 27 | L. Pétrot | D |
| 6 | L. Augustinsson | D |
| 10 | M. Winkler | M |
| 30 | I. Koutsoupias | M |
| 55 | M. Kana | M |
| 11 | O. Antman | M |
| 21 | T. Bentayeb | F |
| 14 | D. Sikan | F |
Bench
19 T. Aasgaard M · 8 R. Amané M · 9 M. CvetkoviÄ F · 83 T. Degreef M · 53 N. Cobiella M · 12 A. Omobamidele D · 61 J. Bethume M · 24 E. Llansana M · 32 J. Heekeren G
Coach Vítor Bruno — from the announced team sheet
Missing regulars
K. Nga (importance atk 0.3 def 0.01 — derived from stored season minutes/goals, deterministic)
A. Bertaccini (importance atk 0.27 def 0 — derived from stored season minutes/goals, deterministic)
M. N and apos;Diaye (importance atk 0.05 def 0.1 — derived from stored season minutes/goals, deterministic)
L. Ambros (importance atk 0.08 def 0.01 — derived from stored season minutes/goals, deterministic)
B. Vroninks (importance atk 0.03 def 0.05 — derived from stored season minutes/goals, deterministic)
J. Heekeren (importance atk 0.03 def 0.05 — derived from stored season minutes/goals, deterministic)
K. Barry (importance atk 0.03 def 0.05 — derived from stored season minutes/goals, deterministic)
M. Seghers (importance atk 0.03 def 0.05 — derived from stored season minutes/goals, deterministic)
Zoumana Keita (importance atk 0.03 def 0.05 — derived from stored season minutes/goals, deterministic)
N. Saliba (importance atk 0.06 def 0.01 — derived from stored season minutes/goals, deterministic)
T. Degreef (importance atk 0.06 def 0.01 — derived from stored season minutes/goals, deterministic)
A. Bertaccini (importance atk 0.27 def 0 — derived from stored season minutes/goals, deterministic)
M. N and apos;Diaye (importance atk 0.05 def 0.1 — derived from stored season minutes/goals, deterministic)
L. Ambros (importance atk 0.08 def 0.01 — derived from stored season minutes/goals, deterministic)
B. Vroninks (importance atk 0.03 def 0.05 — derived from stored season minutes/goals, deterministic)
J. Heekeren (importance atk 0.03 def 0.05 — derived from stored season minutes/goals, deterministic)
K. Barry (importance atk 0.03 def 0.05 — derived from stored season minutes/goals, deterministic)
M. Seghers (importance atk 0.03 def 0.05 — derived from stored season minutes/goals, deterministic)
Zoumana Keita (importance atk 0.03 def 0.05 — derived from stored season minutes/goals, deterministic)
N. Saliba (importance atk 0.06 def 0.01 — derived from stored season minutes/goals, deterministic)
T. Degreef (importance atk 0.06 def 0.01 — derived from stored season minutes/goals, deterministic)
Team sheets fetched 2026-09-11 18:30 — as announced, never predicted.
Lineup strength adjusts the engine's prediction ledger (expected-goals context); it does not change the production score — that rule is architectural, not an omission.
Injuries and absences
No recent injury snapshot for these teams.
Availability snapshots are captured daily for covered leagues; a fixture outside those
competitions won't have one — that is a coverage statement, not "no injuries".
Signal ledger
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Grounded team-news brief
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Module freshness: odds snapshot 11 Sept, 07:02 · model run 5 Sept, 07:02
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
More Belgium First Div fixtures
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Frequently asked questions
When do KV Mechelen play Anderlecht?
Kick-off is Fri 11 Sept, 19:45 UK time in the Belgium First Div.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 11 September at 08:02 UK time. · engine slate assembled 12 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.