A

Anderlecht

Belgium First Div·Lotto Park

Next match KV Mechelen v Anderlecht Fri 11 Sept, 19:45

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Anderlecht — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

2 Upcoming5 Results held

Model Strength

Not enough data

the model has priced 0 of this club's fixtures; 3 are needed

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

94.9%

Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

1 settled call on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

3rd

of 16 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

5

Held

Next fixtures

2 priced

Fri 11 Sept19:45 KV Mechelen A — 1.89Smarkets — Wed 16 Sept20:00 Lyon H — 3.60Betfair Exchange —

Form

last 5

DWLLW 7 pts from 5

H Genk 0–0 -0.5

H Kortrijk 1–0 +1.5

A Union St. Gilloise 0–3 —

A SK Beveren 0–1 -1.1

H RAAL La Louvière 2–1 +1.4

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (5 matches) Model expected (5 priced) Ahead Behind

+1.2 points against the model's expectation over the 5 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Weaknesses

Goals scored 0.6 #16 of 18

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 0.6 #16 of 18

Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 1 #7 of 18

Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Clean sheets 2 #9 of 18

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

100%

Scored before half time

of 1 goals

0%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 1 goals

0%

From the penalty spot

of 1 goals

33%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 3 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 5 stored fixtures (4 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

Upcoming fixtures

1. Fri 11 Sept19:45in 9m
   KV Mechelen Anderlecht

   BFD

   Regular Season - 6
   not modelled
   model building
   —
2. Wed 16 Sept20:00in 5d
   Anderlecht Lyon

   UEL

   League Stage - 1
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

Graded calls — from the public ledger

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