Molde v Aalesund — Eliteserien - Norway prediction, odds and analysis
At a glance
Model edge
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Fair price
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Model prob
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Reliability
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qualification
Molde1.35Casumo
Draw5.40Casumo
Aalesund7.00Casumo
Best captured price per outcome · 5 bookmakers · prices observed 3 h ago
RESEARCH VIEW
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: Aker Stadion, Molde
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Pricing board
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Recorded price movement
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Match flow
No event timeline is held for this fixture yet.
Goals, cards and substitutions arrive with the in-play sweep and the post-match pass.
Timeline and match statistics
Match statistics start at kick-off
there is nothing to count until the match is under way
The model's expected goals for this fixture are in the Model tab.
Form and league position
WWWWWL
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 3.17 / 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 83% |
| Both teams scored | 75% |
| Clean sheets | 25% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | vs KFUM Oslo (H) | 2-0 | W |
| 2026-09-06 | vs KFUM (H) | 2-0 | W |
| 2026-08-30 | at Valerenga (A) | 4-3 | W |
| 2026-08-22 | at Midsund (A) | 11-0 | W |
| 2026-08-16 | vs Tromso (H) | 3-2 | W |
WWLWDD
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 2.92 / 2.08 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 67% |
| Clean sheets | 33% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | vs Start (H) | 2-0 | W |
| 2026-09-04 | vs IK Start (H) | 2-0 | W |
| 2026-08-30 | at Viking (A) | 1-2 | L |
| 2026-08-22 | at Langevag (A) | 13-0 | W |
| 2026-08-16 | vs Valerenga (H) | 5-5 | D |
League standings
No stored table rows for either side yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected. no standings rows held for either side.
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
Recent meetings
Molde 4 wins1 drawAalesund 1avg 3.2 goalsBTTS 50%Over 2.5 in 83%
small sample — 6 meetings held; context, not a pattern claim
| Date | Match | Score | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Aalesund v Molde | 2-2 | Norway — Eliteserien |
| 2023-05-16 | Aalesund v Molde | 3-1 | Norway Eliteserien |
| 2023-05-03 | Molde v Aalesund | 3-0 | Norway Eliteserien |
| 2022-09-18 | Molde v Aalesund | 3-0 | Norway Eliteserien |
| 2022-05-16 | Aalesund v Molde | 0-2 | Norway Eliteserien |
| 2020-12-06 | Molde v Aalesund | 2-1 | Norway Eliteserien |
Prior meetings held in the engine's results archive, newest first. The archive is what the model trains on, so a meeting missing here was never ingested — it is not a claim the game was not played.
Starting elevens
Line-ups not released
clubs confirm an XI about an hour before kick-off
Squad availability and reported absences are below.
Injuries and absences
No recent injury snapshot for these teams.
Availability snapshots are captured daily for covered leagues; a fixture outside those
competitions won't have one — that is a coverage statement, not "no injuries".
Signal ledger
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Grounded team-news brief
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Module freshness: odds snapshot 13 Sept, 07:04 · model run 13 Sept, 07:04
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
More Eliteserien - Norway fixtures
Viking FK v Kristiansund BKIK Start v SK BrannKFUM v AalesundHamKam v MoldeFredrikstad FK v Sarpsborg FKBodø/Glimt v Sandefjord
Frequently asked questions
When do Molde play Aalesund?
Kick-off is Sat 19 Sept, 17:00 UK time in the Eliteserien - Norway.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 13 September at 08:04 UK time. · engine slate assembled 3 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.

