Orlando City SC v Toronto FC — MLS prediction, odds and analysis
MLSAt a glance
Model edge
Members
free account
Fair price
Members
free account
Model prob
Members
free account
Reliability
—
qualification
Orlando City SCvToronto FC
Sun 13 Sept, 00:30Orlando City SC1.92Betfair
Draw4.20Betfair
Toronto FC3.85Matchbook
Best captured price per outcome · 20 bookmakers · prices observed 12 h ago
RESEARCH VIEW
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: Exploria Stadium, Orlando
The full model view — probabilities, expected goals and the engine score needs a free account
one email address, no card and no trial clock
Fixture times, states and results stay open to everyone.
Create a free account
Pricing board
The market pricing board needs a free account
one email address, no card and no trial clock
Fixture times, states and results stay open to everyone.
Create a free account
Recorded price movement
Recorded price movement needs a free account
one email address, no card and no trial clock
Fixture times, states and results stay open to everyone.
Create a free account
Match flow
No event timeline is held for this fixture yet.
Goals, cards and substitutions arrive with the in-play sweep and the post-match pass.
Timeline and match statistics
Match statistics start at kick-off
there is nothing to count until the match is under way
The model's expected goals for this fixture are in the Model tab.
Form and league position
WWDWLD
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.92 / 1.42 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% |
| Both teams scored | 75% |
| Clean sheets | 25% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | at Atlanta United FC (A) | 3-2 | W |
| 2026-09-05 | vs San Diego (H) | 1-0 | W |
| 2026-08-30 | at Minnesota United FC (A) | 3-3 | D |
| 2026-08-22 | vs Real Salt Lake (H) | 2-1 | W |
| 2026-08-19 | vs Chicago Fire (H) | 1-2 | L |
WDDWDW
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.5 / 1.58 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 83% |
| Clean sheets | 17% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | vs Nashville SC (H) | 2-1 | W |
| 2026-09-05 | vs Chicago Fire (H) | 4-4 | D |
| 2026-08-29 | vs New York City FC (H) | 1-1 | D |
| 2026-08-22 | at Inter Miami (A) | 2-1 | W |
| 2026-08-19 | vs Charlotte (H) | 3-3 | D |
League standings
No stored table rows for either side yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected. no standings rows held for either side.
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
Recent meetings
Orlando City SC 4 wins0 drawsToronto FC 2avg 4 goalsBTTS 67%Over 2.5 in 83%
small sample — 6 meetings held; context, not a pattern claim
| Date | Match | Score | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-18 | Toronto FC v Orlando City | 4-2 | USA MLS |
| 2025-03-02 | Orlando City v Toronto FC | 4-2 | USA MLS |
| 2024-07-04 | Toronto FC v Orlando City | 1-2 | USA MLS |
| 2024-04-28 | Orlando City v Toronto FC | 1-2 | USA MLS |
| 2023-10-21 | Toronto FC v Orlando City | 0-2 | USA MLS |
| 2023-07-05 | Orlando City v Toronto FC | 4-0 | USA MLS |
Prior meetings held in the engine's results archive, newest first. The archive is what the model trains on, so a meeting missing here was never ingested — it is not a claim the game was not played.
Starting elevens
Line-ups not released
clubs confirm an XI about an hour before kick-off
Squad availability and reported absences are below.
Injuries and absences
No recent injury snapshot for these teams.
Availability snapshots are captured daily for covered leagues; a fixture outside those
competitions won't have one — that is a coverage statement, not "no injuries".
Signal ledger
The signal ledger needs a free account
one email address, no card and no trial clock
Fixture times, states and results stay open to everyone.
Create a free account
Grounded team-news brief
The grounded team-news brief needs a free account
one email address, no card and no trial clock
Fixture times, states and results stay open to everyone.
Create a free account
Module freshness: odds snapshot 11 Sept, 07:02 · model run 3 Sept, 06:48
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
More MLS fixtures
FC Cincinnati v Charlotte FCColumbus Crew SC v New York Red BullsInter Miami CF v Nashville SCD.C. United v Atlanta United FCSporting Kansas City v Los Angeles FCFC Dallas v Portland Timbers
Frequently asked questions
When do Orlando City SC play Toronto FC?
Kick-off is Sun 13 Sept, 00:30 UK time in the MLS.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 11 September at 08:02 UK time. · engine slate assembled 12 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
Sign in to open match intelligence
Model probabilities, fair odds, price movement and the grounded brief for every fixture — free with an account. One email, no card.
A free account unlocks:
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Create a free account
See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.