Raków Częstochowa v Motor Lublin — Ekstraklasa - Poland prediction, odds and analysis
EPAt a glance
Model edge
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Fair price
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Model prob
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Reliability
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qualification
Raków Częstochowa2–1Motor Lublin
Full timeRaków Częstochowa1.90Smarkets
Draw4.20Matchbook
Motor Lublin4.10Grosvenor
Best captured price per outcome · 19 bookmakers · prices observed 11 h ago
RESEARCH VIEW
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: Miejski Stadion Pilkarski Rakow
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Pricing board
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Recorded price movement
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Match flow
Built from the 15 goals,
cards and substitutions held for this fixture.
Above the line is Raków Częstochowa. Per-minute shot and possession data is not held, so this is the flow of
recorded events rather than a shot-pressure model.
Timeline and match statistics
Timeline · FT · HT 1–1
Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 8
- 31' Yellow Card — Foul Karol Struski
- 34' Normal Goal Kamil Lukoszek (Ivo Rodrigues)
- 42' Normal Goal Patryk Makuch (Marko Bulat)
- 61' Substitution 1 Karol Struski (Vladyslav Kochergin)
- 62' Substitution 1 Fabio Ronaldo Costa Conceicao (Makan Aiko)
- 76' Substitution 2 Marko Bulat (Adam Basse)
- 77' Normal Goal Patryk Makuch (Vladyslav Kochergin)
- 80' Substitution 2 Mateusz Legowski (Christopher Simon)
- 80' Substitution 3 Mbaye Jacques Ndiaye (Rony Lopes)
- 81' Yellow Card — Foul Vladyslav Kochergin
- 85' Yellow Card — Dissent Mariusz Misiura
- 87' Substitution 3 Jean Carlos (Marko Perović)
- 87' Substitution 4 Mahir Emreli (Ojo abraham)
- 87' Substitution 4 Kamil Lukoszek (Paskal Konrad Meyer)
- 87' Substitution 5 Filip Luberecki (Mateusz Posmyk)
Raków Częstochowa above the axis, Motor Lublin below — as recorded by the match feed, never inferred.
Form and league position
WLLLLD
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.42 / 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% |
| Both teams scored | 67% |
| Clean sheets | 25% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | vs Motor Lublin (H) | 2-1 | W |
| 2026-09-06 | at Lech Poznan (A) | 0-1 | L |
| 2026-09-03 | vs Gornik Zabrze (H) | 1-2 | L |
| 2026-08-30 | vs Jagiellonia (H) | 2-5 | L |
| 2026-08-27 | vs HNK Hajduk Split (H) | 2-3 | L |
LLWLDW
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.42 / 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 67% |
| Clean sheets | 25% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | at Raków Częstochowa (A) | 1-2 | L |
| 2026-09-05 | vs Legia Warszawa (H) | 2-3 | L |
| 2026-09-01 | vs Legia Warszawa (H) | 3-0 | W |
| 2026-08-29 | vs Piast Gliwice (H) | 0-2 | L |
| 2026-08-22 | at Korona Kielce (A) | 1-1 | D |
League standings
No stored table rows for either side yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected. no standings rows held for either side.
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
No prior meetings in the archive
The engine's results archive holds no completed fixture between these two sides.
Team form and league position are on the Teams tab; the model does not use head-to-head as an input.
Starting elevens
Team sheets were not captured for this fixture before kickoff —
the engine spends lineup calls only close to kick-off, and this game fell outside its capture window.
For finished games the post-match sweep stores the confirmed XI when the provider serves it.
Nothing here is ever predicted.
Injuries and absences
No recent injury snapshot for these teams.
Availability snapshots are captured daily for covered leagues; a fixture outside those
competitions won't have one — that is a coverage statement, not "no injuries".
Signal ledger
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Grounded team-news brief
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Module freshness: odds snapshot 11 Sept, 07:02 · model run 5 Sept, 07:02
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
More Ekstraklasa - Poland fixtures
Wisła Kraków v Jagiellonia BiałystokŚląsk Wrocław v Korona KielceGórnik Zabrze v Lech PoznańZagłębie Lubin v GKS KatowiceWisła Płock v Cracovia KrakówPogoń Szczecin v Wieczysta Kraków
Frequently asked questions
When do Raków Częstochowa play Motor Lublin?
Kick-off is Fri 11 Sept, 17:00 UK time in the Ekstraklasa - Poland.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 11 September at 08:02 UK time. · engine slate assembled 11 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.