San Lorenzo v Boca Juniors — Primera División - Argentina prediction, odds and analysis
PDA·Clausura - 10·Sun 20 Sept, 18:45 UK·Estadio Pedro Bidegain, Buenos Aires· 21.7°C · 10.4 kph windAt a glance
Model edge
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Fair price
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Model prob
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Reliability
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qualification
San LorenzovBoca Juniors
Sun 20 Sept, 18:45San Lorenzo4.20BoyleSports
Draw3.00BoyleSports
Boca Juniors2.00Betfred (UK)
Best captured price per outcome · 5 bookmakers · prices observed 16 h ago
RESEARCH VIEW
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: Estadio Pedro Bidegain, Buenos AiresKickoff weather: 21.7°C · rain 0 mm · wind 10.4 kph
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Pricing board
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Recorded price movement
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Match flow
No event timeline is held for this fixture yet.
Goals, cards and substitutions arrive with the in-play sweep and the post-match pass.
Timeline and match statistics
Match statistics start at kick-off
there is nothing to count until the match is under way
The model's expected goals for this fixture are in the Model tab.
Form and league position
WWLDWL
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 0.5 / 0.58 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 8% |
| Clean sheets | 50% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | vs Talleres Cordoba (H) | 1-0 | W |
| 2026-09-05 | vs Talleres (H) | 1-0 | W |
| 2026-09-01 | at Instituto Cordoba (A) | 0-1 | L |
| 2026-08-21 | at Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto (A) | 0-0 | D |
| 2026-08-15 | vs Union Santa Fe (H) | 1-0 | W |
WDDDWD
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.92 / 0.75 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 58% |
| Clean sheets | 42% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | vs Sao Paulo (H) | 1-0 | W |
| 2026-09-05 | at Gimnasia M. (A) | 2-2 | D |
| 2026-09-05 | at Gimnasia Mendoza (A) | 2-2 | D |
| 2026-09-03 | at Velez Sarsfield (A) | 0-0 | D |
| 2026-08-29 | vs Lanus (H) | 1-0 | W |
Key players (this season, by minutes)
| Player | Apps | Mins | G | A | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 A. Marchesín Goalkeeper |
12 | 1,088 | 0 | 0 | — | 7.0 |
 M. Weigandt Defender |
11 | 772 | 0 | 0 | — | 6.9 |
 J. Barinaga Defender |
9 | 734 | 0 | 0 | 1Y | 6.9 |
 A. Bareiro Attacker |
10 | 706 | 3 | 1 | 4Y | 6.6 |
 E. Zeballos Attacker |
8 | 533 | 1 | 3 | — | 7.1 |
League standings
No stored table rows for either side yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected. no standings rows held for either side.
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
Recent meetings
San Lorenzo 2 wins2 drawsBoca Juniors 2avg 2.7 goalsBTTS 83%Over 2.5 in 50%
small sample — 6 meetings held; context, not a pattern claim
| Date | Match | Score | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-11 | Boca Juniors v San Lorenzo | 1-1 | Argentina Liga Profesional |
| 2024-08-18 | Boca Juniors v San Lorenzo | 3-2 | Argentina Liga Profesional |
| 2024-03-30 | Boca Juniors v San Lorenzo | 2-1 | Argentina Copa De La Liga Profesional |
| 2023-11-08 | San Lorenzo v Boca Juniors | 1-1 | Argentina Copa De La Liga Profesional |
| 2023-04-12 | San Lorenzo v Boca Juniors | 1-0 | Argentina Liga Profesional |
| 2022-07-09 | San Lorenzo v Boca Juniors | 2-1 | Argentina Liga Profesional |
Prior meetings held in the engine's results archive, newest first. The archive is what the model trains on, so a meeting missing here was never ingested — it is not a claim the game was not played.
Starting elevens
Line-ups not released
clubs confirm an XI about an hour before kick-off
Squad availability and reported absences are below.
Injuries and absences
No recent injury snapshot for these teams.
Availability snapshots are captured daily for covered leagues; a fixture outside those
competitions won't have one — that is a coverage statement, not "no injuries".
Signal ledger
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Grounded team-news brief
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Module freshness: odds snapshot 11 Sept, 07:02 · model run 8 Sept, 07:07
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
More Primera División - Argentina fixtures
Defensa y Justicia v Gimnasia MendozaBoca Juniors v Central CórdobaIndependiente Rivadavia v Aldosivi Mar del PlataEstudiantes v PlatenseAtlético Tucuman v River PlateTalleres v Union Santa Fe
Frequently asked questions
When do San Lorenzo play Boca Juniors?
Kick-off is Sun 20 Sept, 18:45 UK time in the Primera División - Argentina.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 11 September at 08:02 UK time. · engine slate assembled 16 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.