Slovakia v Moldova — UEFA Nations League prediction, odds and analysis
At a glance
Model edge
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Fair price
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Model prob
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Reliability
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qualification
SlovakiavMoldova
Sat 26 Sept, 19:45Slovakia1.30Coral
Draw5.40Casumo
Moldova11.00Coral
Best captured price per outcome · 9 bookmakers · prices observed 22 h ago
RESEARCH VIEW
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
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Pricing board
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Recorded price movement
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Match flow
No event timeline is held for this fixture yet.
Goals, cards and substitutions arrive with the in-play sweep and the post-match pass.
Timeline and match statistics
Match statistics start at kick-off
there is nothing to count until the match is under way
The model's expected goals for this fixture are in the Model tab.
Form and league position
DWWLLW
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.33 / 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% |
| Both teams scored | 33% |
| Clean sheets | 42% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-05 | vs Montenegro (H) | 2-2 | D |
| 2026-06-01 | vs Malta (H) | 2-1 | W |
| 2026-03-31 | vs Romania (H) | 2-0 | W |
| 2026-03-26 | vs Kosovo (H) | 3-4 | L |
| 2025-11-17 | at Germany (A) | 0-6 | L |
DDLLLL
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 0.75 / 3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 58% |
| Clean sheets | 0% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-09 | at Armenia (A) | 1-1 | D |
| 2026-06-05 | vs Bulgaria (H) | 2-2 | D |
| 2026-03-30 | at Cyprus (A) | 2-3 | L |
| 2026-03-26 | vs Lithuania (H) | 0-2 | L |
| 2025-11-16 | vs Israel (H) | 1-4 | L |
Competition context
A league table does not apply to a international fixture, so none is shown.
| Round | 1 |
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
Recent meetings
| Date | Match | Score | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2001-09-05 | Slovakia v Moldova | 4-2 | International |
| 2000-10-07 | Moldova v Slovakia | 0-1 | International |
Prior meetings held in the engine's results archive, newest first. The archive is what the model trains on, so a meeting missing here was never ingested — it is not a claim the game was not played.
Starting elevens
Line-ups not released
clubs confirm an XI about an hour before kick-off
Squad availability and reported absences are below.
Injuries and absences
No recent injury snapshot for these teams.
Availability snapshots are captured daily for covered leagues; a fixture outside those
competitions won't have one — that is a coverage statement, not "no injuries".
Signal ledger
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Grounded team-news brief
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Module freshness: odds snapshot 14 Sept, 07:08 · model run 21 Aug, 07:07
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
Frequently asked questions
When do Slovakia play Moldova?
Kick-off is Sat 26 Sept, 19:45 UK time in the UEFA Nations League.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 14 September at 08:08 UK time. · engine slate assembled 22 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.