St. Louis City SC v Portland Timbers — MLS prediction, odds and analysis
MLSAt a glance
Model edge
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Fair price
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Model prob
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Reliability
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qualification
St. Louis City SCvPortland Timbers
Thu 29 Oct, 00:30St. Louis City SC1.78Betfair
Draw4.33Paddy Power
Portland Timbers4.25Casumo
Best captured price per outcome · 19 bookmakers · prices observed 16 h ago
RESEARCH ONLY
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: CITYPARK, Saint Louis
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Pricing board
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Recorded price movement
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Match flow
No event timeline is held for this fixture yet.
Goals, cards and substitutions arrive with the in-play sweep and the post-match pass.
Timeline and match statistics
Match statistics start at kick-off
there is nothing to count until the match is under way
The model's expected goals for this fixture are in the Model tab.
Form and league position
LDLDWW
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 2.67 / 1.33 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 83% |
| Both teams scored | 58% |
| Clean sheets | 33% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | at Real Salt Lake (A) | 0-3 | L |
| 2026-10-22 | at Columbus Crew (A) | 0-0 | D |
| 2026-10-17 | at Minnesota United FC (A) | 2-3 | L |
| 2026-10-15 | vs Vancouver Whitecaps (H) | 0-0 | D |
| 2026-10-11 | vs Los Angeles Galaxy (H) | 6-2 | W |
WDLLDL
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.42 / 2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% |
| Both teams scored | 67% |
| Clean sheets | 8% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | vs Charlotte (H) | 3-2 | W |
| 2026-10-18 | vs Colorado Rapids (H) | 0-0 | D |
| 2026-10-15 | at Los Angeles Galaxy (A) | 0-2 | L |
| 2026-10-15 | at LA Galaxy (A) | 0-2 | L |
| 2026-10-11 | at Sporting Kansas City (A) | 3-3 | D |
League standings
No stored table rows for either side yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected. no standings rows held for either side.
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
Recent meetings
St. Louis City SC 1 win3 drawsPortland Timbers 2avg 3.5 goalsBTTS 83%Over 2.5 in 83%
small sample — 6 meetings held; context, not a pattern claim
| Date | Match | Score | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Portland Timbers v St. Louis City | 2-2 | USA — Major League Soccer |
| 2025-07-14 | St. Louis City v Portland Timbers | 2-1 | USA MLS |
| 2025-06-09 | Portland Timbers v St. Louis City | 2-1 | USA MLS |
| 2024-08-25 | Portland Timbers v St. Louis City | 4-4 | USA MLS |
| 2024-06-09 | St. Louis City v Portland Timbers | 0-0 | USA MLS |
| 2023-04-30 | St. Louis City v Portland Timbers | 1-2 | USA MLS |
Prior meetings held in the engine's results archive, newest first. The archive is what the model trains on, so a meeting missing here was never ingested — it is not a claim the game was not played.
Starting elevens
Line-ups not released
clubs confirm an XI about an hour before kick-off
Squad availability and reported absences are below.
Injuries and absences
No recent injury snapshot for these teams.
Availability snapshots are captured daily for covered leagues; a fixture outside those
competitions won't have one — that is a coverage statement, not "no injuries".
Signal ledger
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Grounded team-news brief
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Module freshness: odds snapshot 26 Oct, 08:07 · model run 22 Oct, 07:20
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
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Frequently asked questions
When do St. Louis City SC play Portland Timbers?
Kick-off is Thu 29 Oct, 00:30 UK time in the MLS.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 26 October at 08:07 UK time. · engine slate assembled 16 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.