Swansea City v Burnley — Championship prediction, odds and analysis
EFLAt a glance
Model edge
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Fair price
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Model prob
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Reliability
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qualification
Swansea CityvBurnley
Sat 12 Sept, 15:00Swansea City2.26Betfair
Draw3.60Betfair
Burnley3.50Betfair
Best captured price per outcome · 21 bookmakers · prices observed 12 h ago
RESEARCH VIEW
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea
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Pricing board
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Recorded price movement
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Match flow
No event timeline is held for this fixture yet.
Goals, cards and substitutions arrive with the in-play sweep and the post-match pass.
Timeline and match statistics
Match statistics start at kick-off
there is nothing to count until the match is under way
The model's expected goals for this fixture are in the Model tab.
Form and league position
LLDDWW
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1 / 0.75 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 25% |
| Clean sheets | 58% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | at Southampton (A) | 1-3 | L |
| 2026-09-08 | at Southampton (A) | 1-3 | L |
| 2026-09-05 | vs Wrexham (H) | 0-0 | D |
| 2026-09-05 | vs Wrexham AFC (H) | 0-0 | D |
| 2026-09-01 | vs Watford (H) | 2-0 | W |
DLDLDL
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1 / 1.92 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% |
| Both teams scored | 83% |
| Clean sheets | 8% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | at Wrexham (A) | 1-1 | D |
| 2026-09-05 | vs Bristol City (H) | 1-2 | L |
| 2026-09-02 | vs Middlesbrough (H) | 1-1 | D |
| 2026-08-29 | at Norwich (A) | 1-4 | L |
| 2026-08-26 | at Bradford (A) | 0-0 | D |
League standings
No stored table rows for either side yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected. no standings rows held for either side.
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
Recent meetings
Swansea City 5 wins0 drawsBurnley 1avg 1.8 goalsBTTS 17%Over 2.5 in 17%
small sample — 6 meetings held; context, not a pattern claim
| Date | Match | Score | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-02-10 | Swansea v Burnley | 1-0 | Premier League |
| 2017-11-18 | Burnley v Swansea | 2-0 | Premier League |
| 2017-03-04 | Swansea v Burnley | 3-2 | Premier League |
| 2016-08-13 | Burnley v Swansea | 0-1 | Premier League |
| 2015-02-28 | Burnley v Swansea | 0-1 | Premier League |
| 2014-08-23 | Swansea v Burnley | 1-0 | Premier League |
Prior meetings held in the engine's results archive, newest first. The archive is what the model trains on, so a meeting missing here was never ingested — it is not a claim the game was not played.
Starting elevens
Line-ups not released
clubs confirm an XI about an hour before kick-off
Squad availability and reported absences are below.
Injuries and absences
No recent injury snapshot for these teams.
Availability snapshots are captured daily for covered leagues; a fixture outside those
competitions won't have one — that is a coverage statement, not "no injuries".
Signal ledger
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Grounded team-news brief
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Module freshness: odds snapshot 11 Sept, 07:02 · model run 7 Sept, 07:03
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
More Championship fixtures
West Ham United v Wrexham AFCBolton Wanderers v Cardiff CityDerby County v Birmingham CityWest Bromwich Albion v Queens Park RangersMiddlesbrough v Norwich CityCharlton Athletic v Portsmouth
Frequently asked questions
When do Swansea City play Burnley?
Kick-off is Sat 12 Sept, 15:00 UK time in the Championship.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 11 September at 08:02 UK time. · engine slate assembled 12 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.