Union Santa Fe v Estudiantes — Primera División - Argentina prediction, odds and analysis
PDAAt a glance
Model edge
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Fair price
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Model prob
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Reliability
—
qualification
Union Santa Fe3–1Estudiantes
Live 90′Union Santa Fe2.80Betfair
Draw3.25Betfair
Estudiantes2.90Betfair
Best captured price per outcome · 12 bookmakers · prices observed 16 h ago
RESEARCH ONLY
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: Estadio 15 de Abril, Santa Fe de la Vera CruzReferee: Pablo Dovalo
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Pricing board
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Recorded price movement
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Match flow
Built from the 15 goals,
cards and substitutions held for this fixture.
Above the line is Union Santa Fe. Per-minute shot and possession data is not held, so this is the flow of
recorded events rather than a shot-pressure model.
Timeline and match statistics
Timeline · 2H · HT 0–1
Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 14
- 40' Own Goal Lucas Ayala
- 44' Yellow Card — Persistent Infringement Lucas Piovi
- 45' Substitution 1 Mateo Peresutti (Mauro Luna Diale)
- 45' Substitution 2 Tobias Javier Rubio (Juan Pintado)
- 51' Normal Goal Cristian Tarragona (Juan Pintado)
- 56' Substitution 3 Matías Emiliano Rocha Calderón (Ignacio Isla)
- 64' Normal Goal Marcelo Estigarriba
- 66' Substitution 1 Edwuin Cetre (Brian Aguirre)
- 66' Substitution 2 Adolfo Gaich (Benjamin Sagues Barreiro)
- 74' Substitution 4 Marcelo Estigarriba (Erik Ramirez)
- 75' Yellow Card — Foul Leandro Gonzalez Pirez
- 77' Substitution 3 Eros Nazareno Mancuso (Fabricio Pérez)
- 85' Substitution 5 Julián Palacios (Victor Malcorra)
- 88' Substitution 4 Eric Meza (Alexis Castro)
- 89' Substitution 5 Lucas Piovi (Lucas Alario)
Union Santa Fe above the axis, Estudiantes below — as recorded by the match feed, never inferred.
Form and league position
DLLLLL
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.33 / 1.75 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% |
| Both teams scored | 75% |
| Clean sheets | 0% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-20 | at Deportivo Riestra (A) | 1-1 | D |
| 2026-10-10 | vs Defensa Y Justicia (H) | 0-2 | L |
| 2026-10-03 | at Boca Juniors (A) | 0-3 | L |
| 2026-09-19 | vs Independiente (H) | 1-2 | L |
| 2026-09-12 | at Talleres Cordoba (A) | 1-2 | L |
DLLWDL
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.33 / 1.42 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 58% |
| Clean sheets | 25% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | vs Los Andes (H) | 1-1 | D |
| 2026-10-18 | at Godoy Cruz (A) | 3-6 | L |
| 2026-10-18 | vs San Lorenzo (H) | 1-2 | L |
| 2026-10-11 | vs Deportivo Moron (H) | 2-0 | W |
| 2026-10-10 | at Central Córdoba (A) | 2-2 | D |
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
No prior meetings in the archive
The engine's results archive holds no completed fixture between these two sides.
Team form and league position are on the Teams tab; the model does not use head-to-head as an input.
Starting elevens
Team sheets were not captured for this fixture before kickoff —
the engine spends lineup calls only close to kick-off, and this game fell outside its capture window.
For finished games the post-match sweep stores the confirmed XI when the provider serves it.
Nothing here is ever predicted.
Injuries and absences
No recent injury snapshot for these teams.
Availability snapshots are captured daily for covered leagues; a fixture outside those
competitions won't have one — that is a coverage statement, not "no injuries".
Signal ledger
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Grounded team-news brief
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Module freshness: odds snapshot 26 Oct, 08:07 · model run 13 Oct, 07:01 · brief 2026-10-26
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
More Primera División - Argentina fixtures
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Frequently asked questions
When do Union Santa Fe play Estudiantes?
Kick-off is Mon 26 Oct, 22:00 UK time in the Primera División - Argentina.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 26 October at 08:07 UK time. · engine slate assembled 16 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.