Vitória SC v Moreirense FC — Primeira Liga - Portugal prediction, odds and analysis
PRI·Regular Season - 7·Sun 20 Sept, 15:30 UK·Estádio D. Afonso Henriques, Guimarães· 32.5°C · 10.5 kph wind·Sergio Jose Dos Santos GuelhoAt a glance
Model edge
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Fair price
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Model prob
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Reliability
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Vitória SCvMoreirense FC
Sun 20 Sept, 15:30Vitória SC1.54Betfair
Draw4.40Betfair
Moreirense FC7.20Betfair
Best captured price per outcome · 19 bookmakers · prices observed 21 h ago
RESEARCH VIEW
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: Estádio D. Afonso Henriques, GuimarãesReferee: Sergio Jose Dos Santos GuelhoKickoff weather: 32.5°C · rain 0 mm · wind 10.5 kph
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Recorded price movement
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Match flow
No event timeline is held for this fixture yet.
Goals, cards and substitutions arrive with the in-play sweep and the post-match pass.
Timeline and match statistics
Match statistics start at kick-off
there is nothing to count until the match is under way
The model's expected goals for this fixture are in the Model tab.
Form and league position
DLLWWD
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 0.67 / 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% |
| Both teams scored | 42% |
| Clean sheets | 25% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | at Mirassol (A) | 2-2 | D |
| 2026-09-12 | at Academico Viseu (A) | 1-2 | L |
| 2026-09-12 | at Académico de Viseu FC (A) | 1-2 | L |
| 2026-09-07 | vs Gremio (H) | 1-0 | W |
| 2026-09-07 | vs Grêmio FBPA (H) | 1-0 | W |
WLLLWL
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.25 / 2.08 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 83% |
| Both teams scored | 58% |
| Clean sheets | 17% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | vs Maritimo (H) | 3-1 | W |
| 2026-09-09 | vs Benfica (H) | 0-4 | L |
| 2026-09-09 | vs Sport Lisboa e Benfica (H) | 0-4 | L |
| 2026-09-04 | at FC Porto (A) | 1-2 | L |
| 2026-08-30 | at Casa Pia (A) | 1-0 | W |
League standings 2026–27
| Team | Pos | Pts | P | GD | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitória SC | 14 | 4 | 6 | -3 | |
| Moreirense FC | 11 | 7 | 6 | -6 |
Vitória SC: 14 pts behind 1st · 3 pts above 18th
Moreirense FC: 11 pts behind 1st · 6 pts above 18th
From the engine's stored standings snapshot · football-data.org · updated 2026-09-19.
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
Recent meetings
Vitória SC 3 wins1 drawMoreirense FC 2avg 1.7 goalsBTTS 17%Over 2.5 in 17%
small sample — 6 meetings held; context, not a pattern claim
| Date | Match | Score | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-30 | Vitória SC v Moreirense FC | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| 2025-08-23 | Moreirense FC v Vitória SC | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| 2025-03-30 | Moreirense FC v Vitória SC | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| 2024-11-03 | Vitória SC v Moreirense FC | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| 2024-03-30 | Vitória SC v Moreirense FC | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| 2023-11-05 | Moreirense FC v Vitória SC | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
Prior meetings held in the engine's results archive, newest first. The archive is what the model trains on, so a meeting missing here was never ingested — it is not a claim the game was not played.
Starting elevens
Line-ups not released
clubs confirm an XI about an hour before kick-off
Squad availability and reported absences are below.
Injuries and absences
No recent injury snapshot for these teams.
Availability snapshots are captured daily for covered leagues; a fixture outside those
competitions won't have one — that is a coverage statement, not "no injuries".
Signal ledger
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Grounded team-news brief
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Module freshness: odds snapshot 19 Sept, 07:06 · model run 14 Sept, 07:08
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
More Primeira Liga - Portugal fixtures
Frequently asked questions
When do Vitória SC play Moreirense FC?
Kick-off is Sun 20 Sept, 15:30 UK time in the Primeira Liga - Portugal.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 19 September at 08:06 UK time. · engine slate assembled 21 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.