Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for AFC Wimbledon — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.
1 Upcoming7 Results held
Model Strength
54.1
Developing
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
96.7%
Very Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
18th
of 24 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
7
Held
Next fixtures
1 priced
Form
last 6DWWLWD
11 pts from 6
H
Milton Keynes Dons
0–0
-0.4
H
Doncaster
1–0
+1.6
A
Bromley
2–0
+1.9
A
Burton Albion
1–4
-1.1
H
Wigan
1–0
—
H
Reading
0–0
-0.6
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture.
A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.
Model performance
points vs expected
Points taken (7 matches)
Model expected (7 priced)
Ahead
Behind
+3.3 points against the model's expectation over the 7 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw)
under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is
what the club took against what the model priced.
Strengths & weaknesses
ranked in competitionStrengths
Clean sheets
5
#2 of 24
Goals conceded
1
#4 of 24
Points over model expectation
3.3
#6 of 24
Weaknesses
Goals scored
0.71
#23 of 24
Attack
per game, with rankGoals scored
0.71
#23 of 24
Expected goals
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Defence
per game, with rankGoals conceded
1
#4 of 24
Expected against
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets
5
#2 of 24
Best model edges
on this clubNo priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no
fixture for this club on the board carries both
How the goals arrive
from the event feed67%
Scored before half time
of 6 goals
17%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 6 goals
0%
From the penalty spot
of 6 goals
33%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 3 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 7 stored fixtures
(9 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece,
and neither does this panel.
Model vs market
this clubNot enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
LONo stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Home ground: Plough Lane gazetteer
Recorded form
DWWWLW
last 12: 0.83 scored / 1.25 conceded per game · Over 2.5 33% · BTTS 33% · clean sheets 50% (40 results held)
H Milton Keynes Dons 0-0 D · H Doncaster 1-0 W · H Doncaster Rovers 1-0 W · A Bromley 2-0 W · A Burton Albion 1-4 L
Upcoming fixtures
-
Sat 26 Sept15:00in 6dnot modelledmodel building—
Transfers (last 10 recorded)
| Player | Club | Type | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IN | D. Richards | from Chelsea | Loan | 2026-08-31 |
| IN | O. Harrison | from Chelsea | Loan | 2026-07-30 |
| OUT | Justin Clarke | to Everton | - | 2025-07-24 |
| OUT | O. Goodman | to Crystal Palace | Back from Loan | 2025-07-01 |
| IN | Delano McCoy-Splatt\t | from Fulham | Free agent | 2025-06-30 |
| IN | O. Goodman | from Crystal Palace | Loan | 2024-07-16 |
| IN | L. McCormick | from Chelsea | Free | 2021-07-01 |
| OUT | R. Longman | to Brighton | 2021-06-01 | |
| IN | R. Longman | from Brighton | Loan | 2020-08-26 |
| OUT | M. Sanders | to Brighton | 2020-07-01 |
Team data: fresh · collected 14 h ago
Explore
Frequently asked questions
When do AFC Wimbledon play next?
AFC Wimbledon's next fixture in the snapshot is Cambridge United v AFC Wimbledon on Sat 26 Sept, 15:00 UK time (League One).