SHARPFOOTYData · Models · Insight Alvechurch
Join free channel

Alvechurch

FA Cup
Next match Plymouth v Alvechurch Sat 7 Nov, 15:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Alvechurch — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming5 Results held
Model Strength
Not enough data
the model has priced 0 of this club's fixtures; 3 are needed
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
92.2%
Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
Not enough data
this club has no priced fixtures in the stored competition
Fixtures Analysed
5
Held

Next fixtures

1 priced
Sat 7 Nov15:00 Plymouth crest Plymouth A — no price —

Form

last 5
WDWWW 13 pts from 5
H Spalding United 4–0 +1.6
A Spalding United 2–2 -0.1
A Cambridge City 2–1 —
H Racing Club Warwick 3–1 —
H Wolverhampton City 2–0 —
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected
Points taken (5 matches) Model expected (2 priced) Ahead Behind
Points taken against model expected points over 5 matches 0 7 13
+10.5 points against the model's expectation over the 2 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition
Strengths
Clean sheets 2 #7 of 344
Goals conceded 0.8 #32 of 296
Goals scored 2.6 #38 of 296

Attack

per game, with rank
Goals scored 2.6 #38 of 296
Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank
Goals conceded 0.8 #32 of 296
Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets 2 #7 of 344

Best model edges

on this club
No priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed
38%
Scored before half time
of 8 goals
38%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 8 goals
25%
From the penalty spot
of 8 goals
0%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 3 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 5 stored fixtures (11 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club
Not enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
FAC FA Cup 1 fixture on the snapshot · competition page
No league table for this tie FA Cup is a knockout competition, so a league position would belong to a different competition entirely Recent form and the head-to-head record are shown instead.
Recorded form WDDWDD last 12: 2 scored / 1.42 conceded per game · Over 2.5 75% · BTTS 75% · clean sheets 17% (25 results held)
A Leiston 3-1 W · H Anstey Nomads 2-2 D · A Stratford Town 4-4 D · H Spalding United 4-0 W · A Spalding United 2-2 D

Upcoming fixtures

  1. Sat 7 Nov15:00in 6d
    Plymouth crestPlymouth Alvechurch crestAlvechurch
    FAC
    1/128-finals
    not modelled
    model building
    —

Explore

FA Cup Next: Plymouth v Alvechurch Search Alvechurch matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do Alvechurch play next?
Alvechurch's next fixture in the snapshot is Plymouth v Alvechurch on Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 UK time (FA Cup).