BM

Bayern Munich

Bundesliga - Germany·Allianz Arena

Next match Bayern Munich v Real Madrid Wed 28 Oct, 17:45

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Bayern Munich — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

4 Upcoming7 Results held

Model Strength

Not enough data

the model has priced 0 of this club's fixtures; 3 are needed

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

98.3%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

1 settled call on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

1st

of 18 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

7

Held

Next fixtures

4 priced

Wed 28 Oct17:45 Real Madrid H — 1.62Casumo — Wed 28 Oct19:45 1. FC Magdeburg H — 1.04888sport — Sat 31 Oct17:30 Borussia Dortmund H — 1.37Matchbook — Tue 3 Nov20:00 Atlético Madrid A — 2.05Betfred —

Form

last 6

WWDWWD 14 pts from 6

A SC Freiburg 3–1 +0.9

H RB Leipzig 6–1 +0.8

A FC Augsburg 2–2 -1.2

H Union Berlin 7–0 +0.4

A SV Elversberg 2–1 +1.9

A FC Schalke 04 0–0 -0.8

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (7 matches) Model expected (7 priced) Ahead Behind

+2.7 points against the model's expectation over the 7 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Goals scored 3.57 #1 of 18

Expected goals for 3.98 #1 of 18

Shots 23.3 #1 of 18

Shots on target 10.1 #1 of 18

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 3.57 #1 of 18

Expected goals 3.98 #1 of 18

Shots 23.3 #1 of 18

On target 10.1 #1 of 18

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 0.86 #2 of 18

Expected against 1.3 #5 of 18

Shots faced 9 #1 of 18

Clean sheets 2 #5 of 18

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

40%

Scored before half time

of 25 goals

24%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 25 goals

4%

From the penalty spot

of 25 goals

17%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 6 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 7 stored fixtures (31 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

BUN Bundesliga - Germany 4 fixtures on the snapshot · full table

No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Wed 28 Oct17:45in 27h 31m
   Bayern Munich Real Madrid

   UCL

   League Stage - 3
   not modelled
   model building
   —
2. Wed 28 Oct19:45in 29h 31m
   Bayern Munich 1. FC Magdeburg

   DP

   Round of 32
   not modelled
   model building
   —
3. Sat 31 Oct17:30in 4d
   Bayern Munich Borussia Dortmund

   BUN

   Regular Season - 8
   not modelled
   model building
   —
4. Tue 3 Nov20:00in 7d
   Atlético Madrid Bayern Munich

   UCL
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Graded calls — from the public ledger

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