Bayern Munich v Borussia Dortmund — Bundesliga - Germany prediction, odds and analysis
BUNAt a glance
Model edge
Members
free account
Fair price
Members
free account
Model prob
Members
free account
Reliability
—
qualification
Bayern MunichvBorussia Dortmund
Sat 31 Oct, 17:30Bayern Munich1.38Betway
Draw6.00Smarkets
Borussia Dortmund7.00Betfred (UK)
Best captured price per outcome · 18 bookmakers · prices observed 15 h ago
RESEARCH ONLY
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: Allianz Arena, MunichKickoff weather: 7.2°C · rain 0 mm · wind 5.8 kph
The full model view — probabilities, expected goals and the engine score needs a free account
one email address, no card and no trial clock
Fixture times, states and results stay open to everyone.
Create a free account
Pricing board
The market pricing board needs a free account
one email address, no card and no trial clock
Fixture times, states and results stay open to everyone.
Create a free account
Recorded price movement
Recorded price movement needs a free account
one email address, no card and no trial clock
Fixture times, states and results stay open to everyone.
Create a free account
Match flow
No event timeline is held for this fixture yet.
Goals, cards and substitutions arrive with the in-play sweep and the post-match pass.
Timeline and match statistics
Match statistics start at kick-off
there is nothing to count until the match is under way
The model's expected goals for this fixture are in the Model tab.
Form and league position
WWDWWD
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 3.67 / 1.17 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 92% |
| Both teams scored | 67% |
| Clean sheets | 33% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | at SC Freiburg (A) | 3-1 | W |
| 2026-10-23 | at RB Leipzig (A) | 5-1 | W |
| 2026-10-21 | vs Arsenal (H) | 2-2 | D |
| 2026-10-19 | vs VfB Stuttgart (H) | 5-0 | W |
| 2026-10-17 | vs RB Leipzig (H) | 6-1 | W |
WWWDLL
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.58 / 0.83 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% |
| Both teams scored | 42% |
| Clean sheets | 42% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | vs Eintracht Frankfurt (H) | 1-0 | W |
| 2026-10-20 | at Sabah FA (A) | 2-1 | W |
| 2026-10-20 | at Sabah FK (A) | 2-1 | W |
| 2026-10-17 | at Union Berlin (A) | 0-0 | D |
| 2026-10-14 | at Bodo/Glimt (A) | 0-1 | L |
League standings 2026–27
| Team | Pos | Pts | P | GD | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich | 2 | 14 | 6 | +17 | WDWWD |
| Borussia Dortmund | 1 | 17 | 7 | +8 | WDDWW |
Bayern Munich: 3 pts behind 1st · 11 pts above 18th
Borussia Dortmund: level on points with 1st · 14 pts above 18th
From the engine's stored standings snapshot · API-Football · updated 2026-10-25.
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
Recent meetings
Bayern Munich 3 wins2 drawsBorussia Dortmund 1avg 3.2 goalsBTTS 83%Over 2.5 in 67%
small sample — 6 meetings held; context, not a pattern claim
| Date | Match | Score | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Borussia Dortmund v Bayern München | 1-2 | Germany — Super Cup |
| 2026-02-28 | Borussia Dortmund v FC Bayern München | 2-3 | Bundesliga |
| 2025-10-18 | FC Bayern München v Borussia Dortmund | 2-1 | Bundesliga |
| 2025-04-12 | Bayern Munich v Dortmund | 2-2 | Bundesliga |
| 2024-11-30 | Dortmund v Bayern Munich | 1-1 | Bundesliga |
| 2024-03-30 | FC Bayern München v Borussia Dortmund | 0-2 | Bundesliga |
Prior meetings held in the engine's results archive, newest first. The archive is what the model trains on, so a meeting missing here was never ingested — it is not a claim the game was not played.
Starting elevens
Line-ups not released
clubs confirm an XI about an hour before kick-off
Squad availability and reported absences are below.
Injuries and absences
Bayern Munichsnapshot 2026-10-25
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| M. Neuer | Missing Fixture | Foot Injury |
| J. Kimmich | Missing Fixture | Personal Reasons |
| S. Gnabry | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| L. Diaz | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| Kim Min-Jae | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| J. Musiala | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| T. Buchmann | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| M. Neuer | Missing Fixture | Foot Injury |
| J. Kimmich | Questionable | Personal Reasons |
| S. Gnabry | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| L. Diaz | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| Kim Min-Jae | Questionable | Knee Injury |
| J. Musiala | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| T. Buchmann | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| M. Neuer | Missing Fixture | Foot Injury |
Borussia Dortmundsnapshot 2026-10-25
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| E. Can | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| R. Bensebaini | Missing Fixture | Ribs Injury |
| J. Ryerson | Missing Fixture | Ribs Injury |
| N. Schlotterbeck | Missing Fixture | Ankle Injury |
| C. Chukwuemeka | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| G. Konstantelias | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| F. Mane | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| K. Karetsas | Missing Fixture | Ankle Injury |
| J. Lerma | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| S. Inacio | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| M. Kaba | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| K. Prates | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| E. Can | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| R. Bensebaini | Missing Fixture | Ribs Injury |
| J. Ryerson | Missing Fixture | Ribs Injury |
Each side's list carries its OWN capture date. A confirmed starting XI overrides an older snapshot; player names are shown as returned, impact is NOT scored (that would be invention).
Signal ledger
The signal ledger needs a free account
one email address, no card and no trial clock
Fixture times, states and results stay open to everyone.
Create a free account
Grounded team-news brief
The grounded team-news brief needs a free account
one email address, no card and no trial clock
Fixture times, states and results stay open to everyone.
Create a free account
Module freshness: odds snapshot 26 Oct, 08:07 · model run 19 Oct, 07:03 · injury snapshot 2026-10-25
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
More Bundesliga - Germany fixtures
Elversberg v FSV Mainz 05Augsburg v SC FreiburgWerder Bremen v TSG HoffenheimFC Schalke 04 v RB LeipzigBayer Leverkusen v VfB StuttgartBorussia Monchengladbach v SC Paderborn
Frequently asked questions
When do Bayern Munich play Borussia Dortmund?
Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 17:30 UK time in the Bundesliga - Germany.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 26 October at 08:07 UK time. · engine slate assembled 15 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
Sign in to open match intelligence
Model probabilities, fair odds, price movement and the grounded brief for every fixture — free with an account. One email, no card.
A free account unlocks:
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Create a free account
See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.