Borussia Monchengladbach v SC Paderborn — Bundesliga - Germany prediction, odds and analysis
At a glance
Model edge
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Fair price
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Model prob
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Reliability
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qualification
Borussia Monchengladbach1.91Coral
Draw4.10Casumo
SC Paderborn3.85Casumo
Best captured price per outcome · 17 bookmakers · prices observed 16 h ago
RESEARCH ONLY
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: Borussia-ParkKickoff weather: 10.7°C · rain 0 mm · wind 1.1 kph
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Pricing board
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Recorded price movement
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Match flow
No event timeline is held for this fixture yet.
Goals, cards and substitutions arrive with the in-play sweep and the post-match pass.
Timeline and match statistics
Match statistics start at kick-off
there is nothing to count until the match is under way
The model's expected goals for this fixture are in the Model tab.
Form and league position
WLLLLD
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.67 / 2.92 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 92% |
| Both teams scored | 83% |
| Clean sheets | 0% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-23 | at VfB Stuttgart (A) | 3-2 | W |
| 2026-10-18 | vs 1899 Hoffenheim (H) | 1-2 | L |
| 2026-10-18 | vs TSG Hoffenheim (H) | 1-2 | L |
| 2026-10-18 | vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (H) | 1-2 | L |
| 2026-10-11 | at 1. FC Köln (A) | 1-2 | L |
WWDDDL
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.5 / 1.33 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% |
| Both teams scored | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 25% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | vs Hamburger SV (H) | 1-0 | W |
| 2026-10-24 | vs Hamburger SV (H) | 1-0 | W |
| 2026-10-17 | at Werder Bremen (A) | 2-2 | D |
| 2026-10-17 | at Werder Bremen (A) | 2-2 | D |
| 2026-10-17 | at SV Werder Bremen (A) | 2-2 | D |
League standings 2026–27
| Team | Pos | Pts | P | GD | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Monchengladbach | 18 | 3 | 7 | -11 | WLLLL |
| SC Paderborn | 12 | 8 | 7 | -3 | WDLWL |
Borussia Monchengladbach: 14 pts behind 1st · level on points with 18th
SC Paderborn: 9 pts behind 1st · 5 pts above 18th
From the engine's stored standings snapshot · API-Football · updated 2026-10-25.
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
Recent meetings
Borussia Monchengladbach 4 wins0 drawsSC Paderborn 0avg 2.8 goalsBTTS 50%Over 2.5 in 50%
small sample — 4 meetings held; context, not a pattern claim
| Date | Match | Score | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-06-20 | Paderborn v M'gladbach | 1-3 | Bundesliga |
| 2019-12-18 | M'gladbach v Paderborn | 2-0 | Bundesliga |
| 2015-03-01 | M'gladbach v Paderborn | 2-0 | Bundesliga |
| 2014-09-27 | Paderborn v M'gladbach | 1-2 | Bundesliga |
Prior meetings held in the engine's results archive, newest first. The archive is what the model trains on, so a meeting missing here was never ingested — it is not a claim the game was not played.
Starting elevens
Line-ups not released
clubs confirm an XI about an hour before kick-off
Squad availability and reported absences are below.
Injuries and absences
Borussia Monchengladbachsnapshot 2026-10-25
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| F. Honorat | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| T. Kleindienst | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| D. Hashioka | Missing Fixture | Neck Injury |
| K. Itakura | Missing Fixture | Ankle Injury |
| N. Kuhn | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| I. Lidberg | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
| T. Cvancara | Missing Fixture | Groin Injury |
| Y. Konoplya | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| E. Leopold | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| J. Castrop | Missing Fixture | Shoulder Injury |
| F. C. Chiarodia | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| Z. Uno | Missing Fixture | Lacking Match Fitness |
| J. Leszczynski | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| F. Fleck | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| F. Honorat | Questionable | Muscle Injury |
SC Paderbornsnapshot 2026-10-25
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| S. Michel | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| F. Gotze | Missing Fixture | Concussion |
| S. Klaas | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| O. Batista Meier | Missing Fixture | Ankle Injury |
| T. Gayret | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| M. Hoffmeier | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| N. Awortwie-Grant | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| L. Eickel | Missing Fixture | Back Injury |
| S. Michel | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| F. Gotze | Missing Fixture | Concussion |
| S. Klaas | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| O. Batista Meier | Missing Fixture | Ankle Injury |
| T. Gayret | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| M. Hoffmeier | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| N. Awortwie-Grant | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
Each side's list carries its OWN capture date. A confirmed starting XI overrides an older snapshot; player names are shown as returned, impact is NOT scored (that would be invention).
Signal ledger
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Grounded team-news brief
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Module freshness: odds snapshot 26 Oct, 08:07 · model run 19 Oct, 07:03 · injury snapshot 2026-10-25
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
More Bundesliga - Germany fixtures
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Frequently asked questions
When do Borussia Monchengladbach play SC Paderborn?
Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 14:30 UK time in the Bundesliga - Germany.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 26 October at 08:07 UK time. · engine slate assembled 16 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.

