BM

Borussia Monchengladbach

Bundesliga - Germany·18 of 18 in the table·3 points·Borussia-Park

Next match Borussia Monchengladbach v Karlsruher SC Tue 27 Oct, 19:45

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Borussia Monchengladbach — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

2 Upcoming7 Results held

Model Strength

64.9

Developing

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

97.3%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

9th

of 18 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

7

Held

Next fixtures

2 priced

Tue 27 Oct19:45 Karlsruher SC H — 1.38Betway — Sat 31 Oct14:30 SC Paderborn H — 1.91Coral —

Form

last 6

WLLLLL 3 pts from 6

A VfB Stuttgart 3–2 +2.0

H 1899 Hoffenheim 1–2 -1.7

A 1. FC Köln 1–2 -1.3

H FSV Mainz 05 3–4 -1.8

A SC Freiburg 0–5 -1.2

H SV Elversberg 3–4 -1.7

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (7 matches) Model expected (7 priced) Ahead Behind

-6.3 points against the model's expectation over the 7 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Weaknesses

Shots on target 4.7 #13 of 18

Shots faced 17.7 #14 of 18

Possession 46% #14 of 18

Goals conceded 3.14 #18 of 18

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 1.57 #11 of 18

Expected goals 1.42 #10 of 18

Shots 15.3 #11 of 18

On target 4.7 #13 of 18

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 3.14 #18 of 18

Expected against 1.6 #9 of 18

Shots faced 17.7 #14 of 18

Clean sheets 0 #18 of 18

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

42%

Scored before half time

of 12 goals

8%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 12 goals

17%

From the penalty spot

of 12 goals

36%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 22 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 7 stored fixtures (34 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

BUN Bundesliga - Germany 2 fixtures on the snapshot · full table

#18

Position

3

Points from 7 played

-11

Goal difference

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts
16	FC Schalke 04	7	-3	6
17	Union Berlin	7	-12	6
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	7	-11	3

Borussia Monchengladbach and its immediate neighbours in the stored table.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Tue 27 Oct19:45in 14h 13m
   Borussia Monchengladbach Karlsruher SC

   DP

   Round of 32
   not modelled
   model building
   —
2. Sat 31 Oct14:30in 4d
   Borussia Monchengladbach SC Paderborn

   BUN

   Regular Season - 8
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

League position (stored standings)

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