FS0

FC Schalke 04

Bundesliga - Germany·16 of 18 in the table·6 points·Arena AufSchalke

Next match Dynamo Dresden v FC Schalke 04 Wed 28 Oct, 17:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for FC Schalke 04 — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

2 Upcoming7 Results held

Model Strength

57

Developing

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

96.9%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

8th

of 18 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

7

Held

Next fixtures

2 priced

Wed 28 Oct17:00 Dynamo Dresden A — 2.02LeoVegas — Sat 31 Oct14:30 RB Leipzig H — 4.00Coral —

Form

last 6

DLLDWD 6 pts from 6

A 1. FC Köln 0–0 -0.4

H FSV Mainz 05 0–1 -1.9

A SC Freiburg 1–2 -1.3

H SV Elversberg 0–0 -0.7

A Union Berlin 3–1 +1.7

H Bayern München 0–0 +0.1

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (7 matches) Model expected (7 priced) Ahead Behind

-3.5 points against the model's expectation over the 7 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Goals conceded 1 #3 of 18

Clean sheets 3 #3 of 18

Weaknesses

Points over model expectation -3.5 #16 of 18

Goals scored 0.57 #18 of 18

Expected goals for 0.71 #18 of 18

Shots 10 #18 of 18

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 0.57 #18 of 18

Expected goals 0.71 #18 of 18

Shots 10 #18 of 18

On target 3.1 #18 of 18

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 1 #3 of 18

Expected against 1.85 #11 of 18

Shots faced 15 #8 of 18

Clean sheets 3 #3 of 18

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

50%

Scored before half time

of 4 goals

25%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 4 goals

0%

From the penalty spot

of 4 goals

57%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 7 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 7 stored fixtures (11 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

BUN Bundesliga - Germany 2 fixtures on the snapshot · full table

#16

Position

6

Points from 7 played

-3

Goal difference

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts
14	1899 Hoffenheim	6	-3	6
15	VfB Stuttgart	7	-3	6
16	FC Schalke 04	7	-3	6
17	Union Berlin	7	-12	6
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	7	-11	3

FC Schalke 04 and its immediate neighbours in the stored table.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Wed 28 Oct17:00in 36h 29m
   Dynamo Dresden FC Schalke 04

   DP

   Round of 32
   not modelled
   model building
   —
2. Sat 31 Oct14:30in 4d
   FC Schalke 04 RB Leipzig

   BUN

   Regular Season - 8
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

League position (stored standings)

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