VS

VfB Stuttgart

Bundesliga - Germany·15 of 18 in the table·6 points·MHPArena

Next match SC Paderborn v VfB Stuttgart Wed 28 Oct, 17:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for VfB Stuttgart — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

3 Upcoming7 Results held

Model Strength

65

Strong

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

97.8%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

7th

of 18 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

7

Held

Next fixtures

3 priced

Wed 28 Oct17:00 SC Paderborn A — 1.53888sport — Sat 31 Oct14:30 Bayer Leverkusen A — 4.00Betfred — Tue 3 Nov17:45 Galatasaray A — 2.85Unibet —

Form

last 6

LLWLLW 6 pts from 6

H Borussia Mönchengladbach 2–3 -1.8

A Hamburger SV 0–1 -1.4

A SC Paderborn 07 2–0 +1.2

H Borussia Dortmund 0–1 -1.3

A 1899 Hoffenheim 1–2 -1.1

H 1. FC Köln 4–1 +1.0

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (7 matches) Model expected (7 priced) Ahead Behind

-3.8 points against the model's expectation over the 7 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Possession 56.7% #3 of 18

Shots on target 5.7 #6 of 18

Weaknesses

Shots faced 18 #15 of 18

Expected goals against 2.49 #16 of 18

Points over model expectation -3.8 #17 of 18

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 1.43 #12 of 18

Expected goals 1.66 #8 of 18

Shots 16.9 #7 of 18

On target 5.7 #6 of 18

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 1.86 #9 of 18

Expected against 2.49 #16 of 18

Shots faced 18 #15 of 18

Clean sheets 1 #10 of 18

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

25%

Scored before half time

of 12 goals

42%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 12 goals

0%

From the penalty spot

of 12 goals

27%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 11 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 7 stored fixtures (23 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

BUN Bundesliga - Germany 3 fixtures on the snapshot · full table

#15

Position

6

Points from 7 played

-3

Goal difference

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts
13	Eintracht Frankfurt	7	-7	8
14	1899 Hoffenheim	6	-3	6
15	VfB Stuttgart	7	-3	6
16	FC Schalke 04	7	-3	6
17	Union Berlin	7	-12	6

VfB Stuttgart and its immediate neighbours in the stored table.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Wed 28 Oct17:00in 37h 19m
   SC Paderborn VfB Stuttgart

   DP

   Round of 32
   not modelled
   model building
   —
2. Sat 31 Oct14:30in 4d
   Bayer Leverkusen VfB Stuttgart

   BUN

   Regular Season - 8
   not modelled
   model building
   —
3. Tue 3 Nov17:45in 8d
   Galatasaray VfB Stuttgart

   UCL

   League Stage - 4
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

League position (stored standings)

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