EF

Eintracht Frankfurt

Bundesliga - Germany·13 of 18 in the table·8 points·Deutsche Bank Park

Next match Hamburger SV v Eintracht Frankfurt Tue 27 Oct, 17:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Eintracht Frankfurt — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

2 Upcoming7 Results held

Model Strength

59.1

Developing

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

97.2%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

11th

of 18 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

7

Held

Next fixtures

2 priced

Tue 27 Oct17:00 Hamburger SV A — 2.30Grosvenor — Sun 1 Nov16:30 Hamburger SV H — 1.70Coral —

Form

last 6

LWLDWL 7 pts from 6

A Borussia Dortmund 0–1 -0.6

H 1. FC Köln 1–0 +1.2

A RB Leipzig 0–6 -0.6

H SC Freiburg 2–2 -0.8

A FSV Mainz 05 3–1 +1.8

H FC Augsburg 1–4 -1.8

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (7 matches) Model expected (7 priced) Ahead Behind

-0.9 points against the model's expectation over the 7 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Weaknesses

Goals scored 1.43 #13 of 18

Shots faced 17.6 #13 of 18

Points over model expectation -0.9 #13 of 18

Expected goals for 1.25 #14 of 18

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 1.43 #13 of 18

Expected goals 1.25 #14 of 18

Shots 13.7 #14 of 18

On target 5.4 #9 of 18

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 2.43 #16 of 18

Expected against 1.88 #12 of 18

Shots faced 17.6 #13 of 18

Clean sheets 1 #16 of 18

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

64%

Scored before half time

of 11 goals

9%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 11 goals

0%

From the penalty spot

of 11 goals

35%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 17 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 7 stored fixtures (28 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

BUN Bundesliga - Germany 2 fixtures on the snapshot · full table

#13

Position

8

Points from 7 played

-7

Goal difference

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts
11	1. FC Köln	7	-3	8
12	SC Paderborn 07	7	-3	8
13	Eintracht Frankfurt	7	-7	8
14	1899 Hoffenheim	6	-3	6
15	VfB Stuttgart	7	-3	6

Eintracht Frankfurt and its immediate neighbours in the stored table.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Tue 27 Oct17:00in 9h 48m
   Hamburger SV Eintracht Frankfurt

   DP

   Round of 32
   not modelled
   model building
   —
2. Sun 1 Nov16:30in 5d
   Eintracht Frankfurt Hamburger SV

   BUN

   Regular Season - 8
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

League position (stored standings)

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