1FK

1. FC Köln

Bundesliga - Germany·11 of 18 in the table·8 points·RheinEnergie Stadion

Next match 1. FC Köln v Union Berlin Tue 27 Oct, 19:45

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for 1. FC Köln — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

2 Upcoming7 Results held

Model Strength

61.6

Developing

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

97.3%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

14th

of 18 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

7

Held

Next fixtures

2 priced

Tue 27 Oct19:45 Union Berlin H — 1.85Betway — Sun 1 Nov14:30 Union Berlin A — 2.65Unibet —

Form

last 6

DLWLDL 5 pts from 6

H FC Schalke 04 0–0 -0.3

A Eintracht Frankfurt 0–1 -0.9

H Borussia Mönchengladbach 2–1 +1.6

A Hamburger SV 1–2 -1.1

H Werder Bremen 1–1 -0.3

A VfB Stuttgart 1–4 -0.8

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (7 matches) Model expected (7 priced) Ahead Behind

-0.1 points against the model's expectation over the 7 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Expected goals against 1.07 #3 of 18

Goals conceded 1.57 #6 of 18

Weaknesses

Goals scored 1.14 #14 of 18

Clean sheets 1 #14 of 18

Expected goals for 1.1 #16 of 18

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 1.14 #14 of 18

Expected goals 1.1 #16 of 18

Shots 16 #9 of 18

On target 5.3 #10 of 18

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 1.57 #6 of 18

Expected against 1.07 #3 of 18

Shots faced 14.7 #7 of 18

Clean sheets 1 #14 of 18

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

38%

Scored before half time

of 8 goals

25%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 8 goals

13%

From the penalty spot

of 8 goals

31%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 13 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 7 stored fixtures (21 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

BUN Bundesliga - Germany 2 fixtures on the snapshot · full table

#11

Position

8

Points from 7 played

-3

Goal difference

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts
9	FC Augsburg	7	4	9
10	Hamburger SV	7	-10	9
11	1. FC Köln	7	-3	8
12	SC Paderborn 07	7	-3	8
13	Eintracht Frankfurt	7	-7	8

1. FC Köln and its immediate neighbours in the stored table.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Tue 27 Oct19:45in 20h 01m
   1. FC Köln Union Berlin

   DP

   Round of 32
   not modelled
   model building
   —
2. Sun 1 Nov14:30in 6d
   Union Berlin 1. FC Köln

   BUN

   Regular Season - 8
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

League position (stored standings)

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