Union Berlin v 1. FC Köln — Bundesliga - Germany prediction, odds and analysis
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Model edge
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Reliability
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Union Berlinv1. FC Köln
Sun 1 Nov, 14:30Union Berlin2.63Casumo
Draw3.70Betfair Sportsbook
1. FC Köln2.65Unibet (UK)
Best captured price per outcome · 17 bookmakers · prices observed 14 h ago
RESEARCH ONLY
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: Alte Försterei · cap 22,012 (home ground — gazetteer)Kickoff weather: 7.6°C · rain 0.1 mm · wind 5.9 kph
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Recorded price movement
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Match flow
No event timeline is held for this fixture yet.
Goals, cards and substitutions arrive with the in-play sweep and the post-match pass.
Timeline and match statistics
Match statistics start at kick-off
there is nothing to count until the match is under way
The model's expected goals for this fixture are in the Model tab.
Form and league position
DDWDWW
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.5 / 1.75 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% |
| Both teams scored | 42% |
| Clean sheets | 42% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | at Hamburger SV (A) | 4-4 | D |
| 2026-10-24 | at FC Augsburg (A) | 1-1 | D |
| 2026-10-18 | vs 1. FC Nürnberg (H) | 2-1 | W |
| 2026-10-17 | vs Borussia Dortmund (H) | 0-0 | D |
| 2026-10-10 | vs Elversberg (H) | 1-0 | W |
DLWLWL
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.25 / 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% |
| Both teams scored | 58% |
| Clean sheets | 17% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | vs FC Schalke 04 (H) | 0-0 | D |
| 2026-10-24 | at VfL Wolfsburg (A) | 0-3 | L |
| 2026-10-17 | vs Hamburger SV (H) | 3-1 | W |
| 2026-10-16 | at Eintracht Frankfurt (A) | 0-1 | L |
| 2026-10-11 | vs Borussia Mönchengladbach (H) | 2-1 | W |
League standings 2026–27
| Team | Pos | Pts | P | GD | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Berlin | 17 | 6 | 7 | -12 | DDWLL |
| 1. FC Köln | 11 | 8 | 7 | -3 | DLWLD |
Union Berlin: 11 pts behind 1st · 3 pts above 18th
1. FC Köln: 9 pts behind 1st · 5 pts above 18th
From the engine's stored standings snapshot · API-Football · updated 2026-10-25.
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
Recent meetings
Union Berlin 2 wins1 draw1. FC Köln 3avg 3.3 goalsBTTS 50%Over 2.5 in 67%
small sample — 6 meetings held; context, not a pattern claim
| Date | Match | Score | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | 1. FC Köln v Union Berlin | 3-0 | Frauen-Bundesliga |
| 2026-05-02 | 1. FC Union Berlin v 1. FC Köln | 2-2 | Bundesliga |
| 2025-12-20 | 1. FC Köln v 1. FC Union Berlin | 0-1 | Bundesliga |
| 2024-05-11 | 1. FC Köln v 1. FC Union Berlin | 3-2 | Bundesliga |
| 2024-05-11 | FC Koln v Union Berlin | 3-2 | Bundesliga |
| 2023-12-20 | 1. FC Union Berlin v 1. FC Köln | 2-0 | Bundesliga |
Prior meetings held in the engine's results archive, newest first. The archive is what the model trains on, so a meeting missing here was never ingested — it is not a claim the game was not played.
Starting elevens
Line-ups not released
clubs confirm an XI about an hour before kick-off
Squad availability and reported absences are below.
Injuries and absences
Union Berlinsnapshot 2026-10-25
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| S. Nsoki | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| O. Burke | Missing Fixture | Achilles Tendon Injury |
| F. Ronnow | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| J. Juranovic | Missing Fixture | Achilles Tendon Injury |
| M. Friedrich | Missing Fixture | Knock |
| A. Ilic | Missing Fixture | Illness |
| K. Imeri | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| A. Markgraf | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| S. Nsoki | Questionable | Muscle Injury |
| O. Burke | Questionable | Illness |
| F. Ronnow | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| J. Juranovic | Questionable | Achilles Tendon Injury |
| M. Friedrich | Missing Fixture | Knock |
| A. Ilic | Questionable | Illness |
| K. Imeri | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
1. FC Kölnsnapshot 2026-10-25
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| A. Castro-Montes | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| E. Skhiri | Missing Fixture | Ankle Injury |
| L. Waldschmidt | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| R. Ache | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
| I. Rondic | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| T. Hubers | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| T. Dallinga | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| S. Sebulonsen | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| R. van den Berg | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| S. El Mala | Missing Fixture | Illness |
| P. Okon-Engstler | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| A. Castro-Montes | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| E. Skhiri | Missing Fixture | Ankle Injury |
| L. Waldschmidt | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| R. Ache | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
Each side's list carries its OWN capture date. A confirmed starting XI overrides an older snapshot; player names are shown as returned, impact is NOT scored (that would be invention).
Signal ledger
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Grounded team-news brief
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Module freshness: odds snapshot 26 Oct, 08:07 · model run 19 Oct, 07:03 · injury snapshot 2026-10-25
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
More Bundesliga - Germany fixtures
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Frequently asked questions
When do Union Berlin play 1. FC Köln?
Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 14:30 UK time in the Bundesliga - Germany.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 26 October at 08:07 UK time. · engine slate assembled 14 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.