Werder Bremen v TSG Hoffenheim — Bundesliga - Germany prediction, odds and analysis
At a glance
Model edge
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Fair price
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Model prob
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Reliability
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qualification
Werder Bremen3.05Casumo
Draw4.00Betfred (UK)
TSG Hoffenheim2.20Unibet (UK)
Best captured price per outcome · 16 bookmakers · prices observed 15 h ago
RESEARCH ONLY
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: Weserstadion, BremenKickoff weather: 12.4°C · rain 0 mm · wind 4 kph
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Pricing board
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Recorded price movement
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Match flow
No event timeline is held for this fixture yet.
Goals, cards and substitutions arrive with the in-play sweep and the post-match pass.
Timeline and match statistics
Match statistics start at kick-off
there is nothing to count until the match is under way
The model's expected goals for this fixture are in the Model tab.
Form and league position
WWWDDD
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 2.42 / 2.08 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 92% |
| Both teams scored | 100% |
| Clean sheets | 0% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | vs SC Freiburg (H) | 4-3 | W |
| 2026-10-24 | at FSV Mainz 05 (A) | 3-2 | W |
| 2026-10-24 | at 1. FSV Mainz 05 (A) | 3-2 | W |
| 2026-10-17 | vs SC Paderborn 07 (H) | 2-2 | D |
| 2026-10-17 | vs SC Paderborn (H) | 2-2 | D |
WWWWWW
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 2.42 / 1.33 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 67% |
| Clean sheets | 33% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | vs Bayer Leverkusen (H) | 3-0 | W |
| 2026-10-25 | vs Bayer Leverkusen (H) | 3-0 | W |
| 2026-10-25 | vs FSV Mainz 05 (H) | 3-1 | W |
| 2026-10-22 | vs Lyon (H) | 3-0 | W |
| 2026-10-22 | vs Lyon (H) | 3-0 | W |
League standings 2026–27
| Team | Pos | Pts | P | GD | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Werder Bremen | 6 | 12 | 7 | +1 | WDDWD |
| TSG Hoffenheim | 14 | 6 | 6 | -3 | WLLWL |
Werder Bremen: 5 pts behind 1st · 9 pts above 18th
TSG Hoffenheim: 11 pts behind 1st · 3 pts above 18th
From the engine's stored standings snapshot · API-Football · updated 2026-10-25.
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
Recent meetings
Werder Bremen 1 win0 drawsTSG Hoffenheim 5avg 3.3 goalsBTTS 67%Over 2.5 in 67%
small sample — 6 meetings held; context, not a pattern claim
| Date | Match | Score | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim v SV Werder Bremen | 1-0 | Bundesliga |
| 2026-01-27 | SV Werder Bremen v TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 0-2 | Bundesliga |
| 2025-02-16 | Werder Bremen v Hoffenheim | 1-3 | Bundesliga |
| 2024-09-29 | Hoffenheim v Werder Bremen | 3-4 | Bundesliga |
| 2024-03-03 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim v SV Werder Bremen | 2-1 | Bundesliga |
| 2024-03-03 | Hoffenheim v Werder Bremen | 2-1 | Bundesliga |
Prior meetings held in the engine's results archive, newest first. The archive is what the model trains on, so a meeting missing here was never ingested — it is not a claim the game was not played.
Starting elevens
Line-ups not released
clubs confirm an XI about an hour before kick-off
Squad availability and reported absences are below.
Injuries and absences
Werder Bremensnapshot 2026-10-25
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| M. Weiser | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| N. Stark | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| J. Stage | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| F. Agu | Missing Fixture | Calf Injury |
| S. Lynen | Missing Fixture | Hip Injury |
| M. N'Diaye | Missing Fixture | Groin Injury |
| J. Njinmah | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
| S. Alvero | Missing Fixture | Calf Injury |
| O. Wojcik | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| K. Topp | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| S. Musah | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| M. Weiser | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| N. Stark | Questionable | Thigh Injury |
| J. Stage | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| F. Agu | Missing Fixture | Calf Injury |
TSG Hoffenheimsnapshot 2026-10-25
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| A. Prass | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| Bernardo | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| P. Wimmer | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
| F. Asllani | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| T. Lemperle | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| A. Hajdari | Missing Fixture | Foot Injury |
| B. Conte | Questionable | Injury |
| N. De Cat | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| A. Prass | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| Bernardo | Missing Fixture | Achilles Tendon Injury |
| P. Wimmer | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
| F. Asllani | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| T. Lemperle | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| A. Hajdari | Missing Fixture | Foot Injury |
| A. Daghim | Questionable | Injury |
Each side's list carries its OWN capture date. A confirmed starting XI overrides an older snapshot; player names are shown as returned, impact is NOT scored (that would be invention).
Signal ledger
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Grounded team-news brief
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Module freshness: odds snapshot 26 Oct, 08:07 · model run 19 Oct, 07:03 · injury snapshot 2026-10-25
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
More Bundesliga - Germany fixtures
Elversberg v FSV Mainz 05Augsburg v SC FreiburgFC Schalke 04 v RB LeipzigBayer Leverkusen v VfB StuttgartBorussia Monchengladbach v SC PaderbornBayern Munich v Borussia Dortmund
Frequently asked questions
When do Werder Bremen play TSG Hoffenheim?
Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 14:30 UK time in the Bundesliga - Germany.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 26 October at 08:07 UK time. · engine slate assembled 15 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.

