Bayer Leverkusen v VfB Stuttgart — Bundesliga - Germany prediction, odds and analysis
BUN·Regular Season - 8·Sat 31 Oct, 14:30 UK·BayArena, Leverkusen· 11.1°C · 3.7 kph wind · 0.1 mm rainAt a glance
Model edge
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Fair price
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Model prob
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Reliability
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qualification
Bayer LeverkusenvVfB Stuttgart
Sat 31 Oct, 14:30Bayer Leverkusen1.83Smarkets
Draw4.60Smarkets
VfB Stuttgart4.00Betfred (UK)
Best captured price per outcome · 16 bookmakers · prices observed 16 h ago
RESEARCH ONLY
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: BayArena, LeverkusenKickoff weather: 11.1°C · rain 0.1 mm · wind 3.7 kph
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Pricing board
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Recorded price movement
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Match flow
No event timeline is held for this fixture yet.
Goals, cards and substitutions arrive with the in-play sweep and the post-match pass.
Timeline and match statistics
Match statistics start at kick-off
there is nothing to count until the match is under way
The model's expected goals for this fixture are in the Model tab.
Form and league position
LLLWWW
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 2 / 1.58 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 25% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | at 1. FC Nürnberg (A) | 0-2 | L |
| 2026-10-25 | at 1899 Hoffenheim (A) | 0-3 | L |
| 2026-10-25 | at TSG Hoffenheim (A) | 0-3 | L |
| 2026-10-22 | at OFI (A) | 2-0 | W |
| 2026-10-22 | at OFI Crete (A) | 2-0 | W |
LLDDLL
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.58 / 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% |
| Both teams scored | 25% |
| Clean sheets | 42% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | vs Eintracht Frankfurt (H) | 0-3 | L |
| 2026-10-23 | vs Borussia Mönchengladbach (H) | 2-3 | L |
| 2026-10-20 | vs Atletico Madrid (H) | 1-1 | D |
| 2026-10-20 | vs Club Atlético de Madrid (H) | 1-1 | D |
| 2026-10-19 | at Bayern Munich (A) | 0-5 | L |
League standings 2026–27
| Team | Pos | Pts | P | GD | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | 13 | 6 | +7 | WWWDW |
| VfB Stuttgart | 15 | 6 | 7 | -3 | LLWLL |
Bayer Leverkusen: 4 pts behind 1st · 10 pts above 18th
VfB Stuttgart: 11 pts behind 1st · 3 pts above 18th
From the engine's stored standings snapshot · API-Football · updated 2026-10-25.
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
Recent meetings
Bayer Leverkusen 1 win3 drawsVfB Stuttgart 2avg 4 goalsBTTS 83%Over 2.5 in 83%
small sample — 6 meetings held; context, not a pattern claim
| Date | Match | Score | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | VfB Stuttgart v Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 3-1 | Bundesliga |
| 2026-01-10 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen v VfB Stuttgart | 1-4 | Bundesliga |
| 2025-03-16 | Stuttgart v Leverkusen | 3-4 | Bundesliga |
| 2024-11-01 | Leverkusen v Stuttgart | 0-0 | Bundesliga |
| 2024-04-27 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen v VfB Stuttgart | 2-2 | Bundesliga |
| 2024-04-27 | Leverkusen v Stuttgart | 2-2 | Bundesliga |
Prior meetings held in the engine's results archive, newest first. The archive is what the model trains on, so a meeting missing here was never ingested — it is not a claim the game was not played.
Starting elevens
Line-ups not released
clubs confirm an XI about an hour before kick-off
Squad availability and reported absences are below.
Injuries and absences
Bayer Leverkusensnapshot 2026-10-25
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| M. Terrier | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| G. Doue | Missing Fixture | Calf Injury |
| N. Tella | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| E. Ben Seghir | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| M. Culbreath | Questionable | Foot Injury |
| K. Eichhorn | Missing Fixture | Illness |
| C. Kofane | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| M. Terrier | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| G. Doue | Missing Fixture | Calf Injury |
| N. Tella | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| E. Ben Seghir | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| M. Culbreath | Missing Fixture | Foot Injury |
| K. Eichhorn | Missing Fixture | Illness |
| C. Kofane | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| M. Terrier | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
VfB Stuttgartsnapshot 2026-10-25
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| D. Zagadou | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| C. Fuhrich | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| N. Nartey | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| J. Vagnoman | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| M. Mittelstadt | Missing Fixture | Heel Injury |
| L. Assignon | Missing Fixture | Shoulder Injury |
| T. Tomas | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| J. Diehl | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| A. Al Dakhil | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| D. Seimen | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
| L. Sauer | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| L. Jaquez | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| J. Arevalo | Missing Fixture | Back Injury |
| M. Herwerth | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| D. Zagadou | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
Each side's list carries its OWN capture date. A confirmed starting XI overrides an older snapshot; player names are shown as returned, impact is NOT scored (that would be invention).
Signal ledger
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Grounded team-news brief
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Module freshness: odds snapshot 26 Oct, 08:07 · model run 19 Oct, 07:03 · injury snapshot 2026-10-25
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
More Bundesliga - Germany fixtures
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Frequently asked questions
When do Bayer Leverkusen play VfB Stuttgart?
Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 14:30 UK time in the Bundesliga - Germany.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 26 October at 08:07 UK time. · engine slate assembled 16 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.