HS

Hamburger SV

Bundesliga - Germany·10 of 18 in the table·9 points·Volksparkstadion

Next match Hamburger SV v Eintracht Frankfurt Tue 27 Oct, 17:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Hamburger SV — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

2 Upcoming7 Results held

Model Strength

Not enough data

the model has priced 0 of this club's fixtures; 3 are needed

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

97.8%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

15th

of 18 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

7

Held

Next fixtures

2 priced

Tue 27 Oct17:00 Eintracht Frankfurt H — 3.20Betway — Sun 1 Nov16:30 Eintracht Frankfurt A — 4.70Casumo —

Form

last 6

LWWWLL 9 pts from 6

A SC Paderborn 07 0–1 -1.5

H VfB Stuttgart 1–0 +1.7

A 1899 Hoffenheim 3–2 +2.2

H 1. FC Köln 2–1 +1.4

A RB Leipzig 0–5 -0.5

H FSV Mainz 05 0–5 -1.6

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (7 matches) Model expected (7 priced) Ahead Behind

+1.2 points against the model's expectation over the 7 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Expected goals against 1.34 #6 of 18

Weaknesses

Goals scored 0.86 #15 of 18

Goals conceded 2.29 #15 of 18

Shots 10.7 #16 of 18

Shots faced 18.7 #16 of 18

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 0.86 #15 of 18

Expected goals 1.07 #17 of 18

Shots 10.7 #16 of 18

On target 3.3 #17 of 18

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 2.29 #15 of 18

Expected against 1.34 #6 of 18

Shots faced 18.7 #16 of 18

Clean sheets 1 #12 of 18

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

43%

Scored before half time

of 7 goals

43%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 7 goals

0%

From the penalty spot

of 7 goals

33%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 15 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 7 stored fixtures (22 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

BUN Bundesliga - Germany 2 fixtures on the snapshot · full table

#10

Position

9

Points from 7 played

-10

Goal difference

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts
8	SV Elversberg	7	-3	10
9	FC Augsburg	7	4	9
10	Hamburger SV	7	-10	9
11	1. FC Köln	7	-3	8
12	SC Paderborn 07	7	-3	8

Hamburger SV and its immediate neighbours in the stored table.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Tue 27 Oct17:00in 2h 46m
   Hamburger SV Eintracht Frankfurt

   DP

   Round of 32
   not modelled
   model building
   —
2. Sun 1 Nov16:30in 5d
   Eintracht Frankfurt Hamburger SV

   BUN

   Regular Season - 8
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

League position (stored standings)

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