Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Borussia Dortmund — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.
2 Upcoming2 Results held
Model Strength
55
Developing
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
97.5%
Very Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
1 settled call on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
Not enough data
the model has not priced enough of this competition to rank its clubs
Fixtures Analysed
2
Held
Next fixtures
2 pricedForm
last 2WW
6 pts from 2
A
1899 Hoffenheim
3–2
+1.5
H
Hamburger SV
2–0
+0.7
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture.
A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.
Model performance
points vs expectedNot enough finished fixtures
2 results are stored for this club;
three are needed before points taken can be set against points expected
Strengths & weaknesses
ranked in competitionStrengths
Clean sheets
1
#5 of 18
Goals scored
2.5
#6 of 18
Goals conceded
1
#6 of 18
Attack
per game, with rankGoals scored
2.5
#6 of 18
Expected goals
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Defence
per game, with rankGoals conceded
1
#6 of 18
Expected against
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets
1
#5 of 18
Best model edges
on this clubNo priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no
fixture for this club on the board carries both
How the goals arrive
from the event feed50%
Scored before half time
of 4 goals
0%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 4 goals
0%
From the penalty spot
of 4 goals
33%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 3 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 2 stored fixtures
(7 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece,
and neither does this panel.
Model vs market
this clubNot enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
#3
Position
6
Points from 2 played
+3
Goal difference
| # | Team | Pl | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Augsburg | 2 | 6 | 6 |
| 2 | SC Freiburg | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Borussia Dortmund | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | SV Elversberg | 2 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | FSV Mainz 05 | 2 | 5 | 4 |
Borussia Dortmund and its immediate neighbours in the stored table.
Home ground: Signal Iduna Park gazetteer
Recorded form
WWWWWW
last 12: 2.25 scored / 1.42 conceded per game · Over 2.5 75% · BTTS 67% · clean sheets 25% (40 results held)
H Villarreal 3-2 W · A 1899 Hoffenheim 3-2 W · A TSG Hoffenheim 3-2 W · A TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 3-2 W · A HEBC 5-0 W
Upcoming fixtures
-
Sat 12 Sept14:30in 17h 45mnot modelledmodel building—
-
Sat 19 Sept17:30in 8dnot modelledmodel building—
Transfers (last 10 recorded)
| Player | Club | Type | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IN | E. Nwaneri | from Arsenal | Loan | 2026-08-31 |
| OUT | A. Anselmino | to Chelsea | Return from loan | 2026-01-24 |
| OUT | P. Groß | to Brighton | Transfer | 2026-01-01 |
| IN | A. Anselmino | from Chelsea | Loan | 2025-08-27 |
| IN | C. Chukwuemeka | from Chelsea | Transfer | 2025-08-26 |
| OUT | C. Chukwuemeka | to Chelsea | Back from Loan | 2025-07-15 |
| OUT | C. Chukwuemeka | to Chelsea | Return from loan | 2025-07-05 |
| OUT | J. Bynoe-Gittens | to Chelsea | Transfer | 2025-07-05 |
| OUT | C. Chukwuemeka | to Chelsea | 2025-07-01 | |
| IN | Yan Couto | from Manchester City | Transfer | 2025-07-01 |
League position (stored standings)
3rd with 6 points from 2 played · goal difference +3 · up 2 places since 4 Sept (was 5th)
From recorded standings snapshots — observations, not projections.
Team data: fresh · collected 1 h ago
Graded calls — from the public ledger
| Posted | Match | Selection | Posted → close | CLV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Borussia Dortmund v Villarreal | Borussia Dortmund to Win | 1.88 → 1.78 | +5.6% | ✓ WIN |
Every call is timestamped and graded against the closing line, win or lose — the full ledger is on the track record.
Explore
Bundesliga - Germany
Next: Borussia Dortmund v SC Paderborn
Search Borussia Dortmund matches
Opportunity board
Frequently asked questions
When do Borussia Dortmund play next?
Borussia Dortmund's next fixture in the snapshot is Borussia Dortmund v SC Paderborn on Sat 12 Sept, 14:30 UK time (Bundesliga - Germany).
