Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Bohemians — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.
1 Upcoming35 Results held
Model Strength
57
Developing
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
95.4%
Very Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
4th
of 10 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
35
Held
Next fixtures
1 priced
CasumoForm
last 6LWLWWW
12 pts from 6
H
Shelbourne
0–1
-1.7
H
Waterford
2–1
+1.2
A
Shamrock Rovers
1–2
-0.7
A
Dundalk
2–1
+2.2
H
Drogheda United
2–1
+1.1
A
Galway United
3–2
+1.7
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture.
A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.
Model performance
points vs expected
Points taken (35 matches)
Model expected (10 priced)
Ahead
Behind
+47.2 points against the model's expectation over the 10 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw)
under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is
what the club took against what the model priced.
Strengths & weaknesses
ranked in competitionStrengths
Goals scored
1.71
#1 of 10
Points over model expectation
47.2
#2 of 10
Goals conceded
1.2
#3 of 10
Clean sheets
11
#3 of 10
Attack
per game, with rankGoals scored
1.71
#1 of 10
Expected goals
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Defence
per game, with rankGoals conceded
1.2
#3 of 10
Expected against
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets
11
#3 of 10
Best model edges
on this clubNo priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no
fixture for this club on the board carries both
How the goals arrive
from the event feed46%
Scored before half time
of 13 goals
23%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 13 goals
8%
From the penalty spot
of 13 goals
33%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 9 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 35 stored fixtures
(22 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece,
and neither does this panel.
Model vs market
this clubNot enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
LOINo stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Recorded form
LLWLLW
last 12: 1.58 scored / 1.25 conceded per game · Over 2.5 58% · BTTS 58% · clean sheets 17% (40 results held)
H Shelbourne 0-1 L · H Shelbourne Dublin 0-1 L · H Waterford 2-1 W · A Shamrock Rovers 1-2 L · H Waterford 0-2 L
Upcoming fixtures
-
Fri 30 Oct19:45in 4dnot modelledmodel building—
Transfers (last 9 recorded)
| Player | Club | Type | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IN | H. Vaughan | from Hull City | Free agent | 2026-06-30 |
| OUT | H. Vaughan | to Hull City | Return from loan | 2026-06-29 |
| IN | Zane Myers | from Hull City | Free agent | 2026-02-21 |
| IN | H. Vaughan | from Hull City | Loan | 2026-01-07 |
| OUT | S. Grehan | to Crystal Palace | Return from loan | 2025-06-13 |
| IN | S. Grehan | from Crystal Palace | Loan | 2025-02-20 |
| OUT | S. Packham | to Brighton | 2022-07-01 | |
| IN | D. Leahy | from Coventry | Free | 2018-01-04 |
| OUT | Brian Edward Murphy | to Ipswich | Free | 2010-02-01 |
Team data: fresh · collected 18 h ago
Explore
Frequently asked questions
When do Bohemians play next?
Bohemians's next fixture in the snapshot is St Patricks Athletic v Bohemians on Fri 30 Oct, 19:45 UK time (League of Ireland).