SHARPFOOTYData · Models · Insight Bohemians
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Bohemians

Premier Division
Next match Bohemians v Drogheda United Fri 18 Sept, 20:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Bohemians — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming8 Results held
Model Strength
Not enough data
the model has priced 0 of this club's fixtures; 3 are needed
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
94.2%
Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
3rd
of 10 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
8
Held

Next fixtures

2 priced
Fri 11 Sept19:45 Galway United crest Galway United A — 1.85Grosvenor — Fri 18 Sept20:00 Drogheda United crest Drogheda United H — no price —

Form

last 6
WWLDWW 13 pts from 6
H Sligo Rovers 3–0 +1.3
H Derry City 5–3 +1.6
A Waterford 1–3 -1.4
H Galway United 1–1 -1.0
A Drogheda United 2–0 —
H St Patrick's Athl. 2–0 —
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected
Points taken (8 matches) Model expected (4 priced) Ahead Behind
Points taken against model expected points over 8 matches 0 8 16
+9.5 points against the model's expectation over the 4 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition
Strengths
Goals scored 2.25 #1 of 10
Clean sheets 4 #1 of 10
Points over model expectation 9.5 #3 of 10
Goals conceded 1.13 #4 of 10

Attack

per game, with rank
Goals scored 2.25 #1 of 10
Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank
Goals conceded 1.13 #4 of 10
Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets 4 #1 of 10

Best model edges

on this club
No priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed
100%
Scored before half time
of 3 goals
0%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 3 goals
0%
From the penalty spot
of 3 goals
—
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 0 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 8 stored fixtures (3 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club
Not enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
PD Premier Division 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table
No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Recorded form DWWWLL last 12: 1.92 scored / 1.42 conceded per game · Over 2.5 58% · BTTS 58% · clean sheets 33% (40 results held)
A St Patrick's Athl. 1-1 D · H Sligo Rovers 3-0 W · H Derry City 5-3 W · H Longford Town 4-0 W · A FC Midtjylland 2-3 L

Upcoming fixtures

  1. Fri 18 Sept20:00in 7d
    Bohemians crestBohemians Drogheda United crestDrogheda United
    PD
    Regular Season - 32
    not modelled
    model building
    —

Transfers (last 3 recorded)

PlayerClubTypeDate
OUT S. Grehan to Crystal Palace Return from loan 2025-06-13
IN S. Grehan from Crystal Palace Loan 2025-02-20
OUT S. Packham to Brighton 2022-07-01
Team data: fresh · collected just now

Explore

Premier Division Next: Bohemians v Drogheda United Search Bohemians matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do Bohemians play next?
Bohemians's next fixture in the snapshot is Bohemians v Drogheda United on Fri 18 Sept, 20:00 UK time (Premier Division).