SHARPFOOTYData · Models · Insight Premier Division
Join free channel

Premier Division

Ireland10 teamsRegular Season - 36LeagueLeague of Ireland
Next match Sligo Rovers v Derry City Fri 30 Oct, 19:45

5 Premier Division fixtures on the current market snapshot. Model probabilities are shown beside the real prices they were compared against, and every published call for this competition is in the graded ledger below.

5 Upcoming
Model Strength
Not enough data
the engine has scored 0 fixture(s) here; 3 are needed
Market Efficiency
96.4%
Very Efficient
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here; 3 are needed
ROI · published
-28.3%
11 settled
Fixtures Analysed
175
Held

Next fixtures

5 priced
Model prob. Best oddsEdge
Fri 30 Oct19:45 Sligo Rovers crestSligo Rovers Derry City crestDerry City ——— 5.90Betfair Exchange — Fri 30 Oct19:45 Shelbourne Dublin crestShelbourne Dublin Waterford FC crestWaterford FC ——— 2.04Betfair Exchange — Fri 30 Oct19:45 St Patricks Athletic crestSt Patricks Athletic Bohemians crestBohemians ——— 2.05William Hill — Fri 30 Oct19:45 Drogheda United crestDrogheda United Galway United crestGalway United ——— 2.30Casumo — Fri 30 Oct19:45 Dundalk crestDundalk Shamrock Rovers crestShamrock Rovers ——— 3.40Betfair Exchange —
View all fixtures →

Premier Division table

derived · 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGFGAGD PtsForm
1 Shamrock Rovers crestShamrock Rovers 3520875835+23 68 WLWWW
2 Bohemians crestBohemians 3518896042+18 62 LWLWW
3 St Patrick's Athl. crestSt Patrick's Athl. 3517995328+25 60 DLLWW
4 Shelbourne crestShelbourne 351213105047+3 49 WWWDW
5 Derry City crestDerry City 351114104845+3 47 WWLWD
6 Galway United crestGalway United 351012134651-5 42 DLWDL
7 Dundalk crestDundalk 351012135258-6 42 LDLLL
8 Waterford crestWaterford 35913135159-8 40 WWLLD
Derived from the 175 finished fixtures the engine holds for 2026/27 — the newest season observed, not a confirmed current one — not the official table.
View full table →

Model vs market

by month
Model win % Market implied %
Model against market over 5 months 40% JunJulAugSepOct
Mean model and devigged market probability on the home win, by month, over 549 stored fixtures — 5 months carry a model sample, 5 a complete three-way price. A month below the sample floor is a gap, never a line drawn through it.

Market movers

recorded moves
1 Dundalk crestDundalk Shamrock Rovers crestShamrock Rovers Draw1X2 3.45 → 3.85 +11.6%Drifting 2 Sligo Rovers crestSligo Rovers Derry City crestDerry City Draw1X2 4.00 → 4.40 +10.0%Drifting 3 Shelbourne Dublin crestShelbourne Dublin Waterford FC crestWaterford FC Draw1X2 3.75 → 4.00 +6.7%Drifting 4 Drogheda United crestDrogheda United Galway United crestGalway United Draw1X2 3.45 → 3.60 +4.3%Drifting
View all fixtures →

Key league stats

per game · 2026/27
2.78
▼ -0.3
Goals per match
over 175 match · vs all competitions
—
Shots per team
match statistics are stored for 0 of 175 finished fixtures
—
On target per team
match statistics are stored for 0 of 175 finished fixtures
—
xG per team
match statistics are stored for 0 of 175 finished fixtures
52%
▼ -5.8%
Over 2.5 goals
over 175 match · vs all competitions
60%
▲ +5.3%
Both teams score
over 175 match · vs all competitions

Model vs market

this competition
Not enough priced fixtures to compare
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

Top teams

model edge
No club has a model edge on this board
the model has priced too few fixtures in this competition
View all teams →

Latest insights

from the stored data
Goals trend52% of the 175 finished fixtures stored for this competition went over 2.5 goals.
Home advantageThe home side has won 40.6% of the 175 finished fixtures stored here, and 30.9% were drawn.
5
Upcoming
on the snapshot
2.50
Goals / match
last 12 results
50%
BTTS
6 of 12
50%
Over 2.5
6 of 12

Upcoming fixtures

Upcoming season fixtures
  1. Fri 30 Oct19:45in 35h 03m
    Sligo Rovers crestSligo Rovers Derry City crestDerry City
    Regular Season - 36
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  2. Fri 30 Oct19:45in 35h 03m
    Shelbourne Dublin crestShelbourne Dublin Waterford FC crestWaterford
    Regular Season - 36
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  3. Fri 30 Oct19:45in 35h 03m
    St Patricks Athletic crestSt Patricks Athletic Bohemians crestBohemians
    Regular Season - 36
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  4. Fri 30 Oct19:45in 35h 03m
    Drogheda United crestDrogheda United Galway United crestGalway United
    Regular Season - 36
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  5. Fri 30 Oct19:45in 35h 03m
    Dundalk crestDundalk Shamrock Rovers crestShamrock Rovers
    Regular Season - 36
    not modelled
    model building
    —

League table

No stored table rows for this competition yet — no stored standings row is held for League of Ireland.

Teams this season (10)

Bohemians crestBohemiansDerry City crestDerry CityDrogheda United crestDrogheda UnitedDundalk crestDundalkGalway United crestGalway UnitedShamrock Rovers crestShamrock RoversShelbourne Dublin crestShelbourne DublinSligo Rovers crestSligo RoversSt Patricks Athletic crestSt Patricks AthleticWaterford FC crestWaterford

Graded calls — from the public ledger

PostedMatchSelectionPosted → closeCLVResult
2026-10-19 Waterford FC v Galway United Over 2.5 Goals 1.61 → 1.53 +5.2% ✓ WIN
2026-10-08 Shamrock Rovers v Drogheda United Over 2.5 Goals 1.70 → 1.74 -2.3% ✓ WIN
Every call is timestamped and graded against the closing line, win or lose — the full ledger is on the track record.
League data: fresh · collected 1 h ago

Explore

Frequently asked questions

Which League of Ireland fixtures are coming up?
5 League of Ireland fixtures are in the current snapshot, starting with Sligo Rovers v Derry City on Fri 30 Oct, 19:45 UK time.