9 Premier Division fixtures on the current market snapshot. Model probabilities are shown beside the real prices they were compared against, and every published call for this competition is in the graded ledger below.
9 Upcoming
Model Strength
Not enough data
the engine has scored 0 fixture(s) here; 3 are needed
Market Efficiency
96.1%
Very Efficient
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here; 3 are needed
ROI · published
-49.1%
9 settled
Fixtures Analysed
43
Held
Next fixtures
6 pricedModel prob.
Best oddsEdge
Fri 11 Sept19:45
Premier Division table
derived · 2026/27| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 8 | +6 | 18 | WDWWD | |
| 2 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 9 | +9 | 16 | WWLDW | |
| 3 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 8 | +6 | 16 | DDWDW | |
| 4 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 8 | +4 | 15 | LWWDD | |
| 5 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 13 | DWDDD | |
| 6 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 9 | DLWDL | |
| 7 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 8 | WLLDD | |
| 8 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 7 | DDLLW |
Derived from the 43 finished fixtures the engine holds for 2026/27 — the newest season observed, not a confirmed current one — not the official table.
Model vs market
by month
Model win %
Market implied %
Mean model and devigged market probability
on the home win, by month, over 340 stored fixtures —
4 months carry a model sample, 4 a complete three-way price.
A month below the sample floor is a gap, never a line drawn through it.
Market movers
recorded moves
1
Galway United
Bohemians
Galway United1X2
3.50 → 4.40
+25.7%Drifting
2
Waterford FC
Dundalk
Dundalk1X2
2.40 → 2.88
+20.0%Drifting
3
Drogheda United
Sligo Rovers
Sligo Rovers1X2
4.33 → 4.90
+13.2%Drifting
4
St Patricks Athletic
Shamrock Rovers
St Patricks Athletic1X2
2.12 → 2.32
+9.4%Drifting
5
Shelbourne Dublin
Derry City
Draw1X2
3.30 → 3.60
+9.1%Drifting
Key league stats
per game · 2026/272.81
▼ -0.3
Goals per match
over 43 match · vs all competitions
—
Shots per team
match statistics are stored for 0 of 43 finished fixtures
—
On target per team
match statistics are stored for 0 of 43 finished fixtures
—
xG per team
match statistics are stored for 0 of 43 finished fixtures
51.2%
▼ -7.1%
Over 2.5 goals
over 43 match · vs all competitions
60.5%
▲ +5.9%
Both teams score
over 43 match · vs all competitions
Model vs market
this competitionNot enough priced fixtures to compare
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
Top teams
model edgeNo club has a model edge on this board
the model has priced too few fixtures in this competition
Latest insights
from the stored data
Goals trend51.2% of the 43 finished fixtures stored for this competition went over 2.5 goals.
Home advantageThe home side has won 32.6% of the 43 finished fixtures stored here, and 37.2% were drawn.
9
Upcoming
on the snapshot
3.17
Goals / match
last 12 results
58%
BTTS
7 of 12
58%
Over 2.5
7 of 12
Upcoming fixtures
Upcoming season fixtures
-
Fri 11 Sept19:45in 10m
Waterford
Dundalk
Regular Season - 31not modelledmodel building— -
Fri 11 Sept19:45in 10m
Galway United
Bohemians
Regular Season - 31not modelledmodel building— -
Fri 11 Sept19:45in 10m
Drogheda United
Sligo Rovers
Regular Season - 31not modelledmodel building— -
Fri 11 Sept19:45in 10m
Shelbourne Dublin
Derry City
Regular Season - 31not modelledmodel building— -
Fri 11 Sept20:00in 25m
St Patricks Athletic
Shamrock Rovers
Regular Season - 31not modelledmodel building— -
Mon 14 Sept19:45in 3d
Dundalk
St Patricks Athletic
Regular Season - 30not modelledmodel building—
League table
No stored table rows for this competition yet — no stored standings row is held for League of Ireland.
All upcoming fixtures (9)
-
Fri 11 Sept19:45in 10m
Waterford
Dundalk
Regular Season - 31not modelledmodel building— -
Fri 11 Sept19:45in 10m
Galway United
Bohemians
Regular Season - 31not modelledmodel building— -
Fri 11 Sept19:45in 10m
Drogheda United
Sligo Rovers
Regular Season - 31not modelledmodel building— -
Fri 11 Sept19:45in 10m
Shelbourne Dublin
Derry City
Regular Season - 31not modelledmodel building— -
Fri 11 Sept20:00in 25m
St Patricks Athletic
Shamrock Rovers
Regular Season - 31not modelledmodel building— -
Mon 14 Sept19:45in 3d
Dundalk
St Patricks Athletic
Regular Season - 30not modelledmodel building— -
Mon 14 Sept19:45in 3d
Waterford
Derry City
Regular Season - 30not modelledmodel building— -
Mon 14 Sept19:45in 3d
Shelbourne Dublin
Drogheda United
Regular Season - 30not modelledmodel building— -
Mon 14 Sept19:45in 3d
Sligo Rovers
Galway United
Regular Season - 30not modelledmodel building—
Teams this season (10)
League data: fresh · collected 5 min ago
Explore
Premier Division predictions
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Track record
Frequently asked questions
Which League of Ireland fixtures are coming up?
9 League of Ireland fixtures are in the current snapshot, starting with Waterford FC v Dundalk on Fri 11 Sept, 19:45 UK time.
