D

Dundalk

League of Ireland·Oriel Park

Next match Dundalk v St Patricks Athletic Mon 14 Sept, 19:45

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Dundalk — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

2 Upcoming9 Results held

Model Strength

75.6

Strong

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

95.3%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

-100.0%

3 settled

Model Rank

1st

of 10 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

9

Held

Next fixtures

3 priced

Fri 11 Sept19:45 Waterford FC A — 2.88Betfair Exchange — Mon 14 Sept19:45 St Patricks Athletic H — 3.20Grosvenor — Fri 18 Sept19:45 Shelbourne H — no price —

Form

last 6

WLLDDL 5 pts from 6

A Drogheda United 3–2 +1.2

H Galway United 1–2 -2.2

A Shamrock Rovers 2–3 -1.0

H Sligo Rovers 1–1 -1.0

A St Patrick's Athl. 1–1 —

H Drogheda United 1–2 —

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (9 matches) Model expected (4 priced) Ahead Behind

+0.9 points against the model's expectation over the 4 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Goals scored 1.56 #4 of 10

Weaknesses

Goals conceded 1.89 #8 of 10

Points over model expectation 0.9 #9 of 10

Clean sheets 0 #10 of 10

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 1.56 #4 of 10

Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 1.89 #8 of 10

Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Clean sheets 0 #10 of 10

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

33%

Scored before half time

of 3 goals

33%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 3 goals

0%

From the penalty spot

of 3 goals

0%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 2 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 9 stored fixtures (5 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

LOI League of Ireland 2 fixtures on the snapshot · full table

No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Mon 14 Sept19:45in 3d
   Dundalk St Patricks Athletic

   LOI

   Regular Season - 30
   not modelled
   model building
   —
2. Fri 18 Sept19:45in 7d
   Dundalk Shelbourne

   PD

   Regular Season - 32
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Transfers (last 3 recorded)

Graded calls — from the public ledger

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