CP

Casa Pia

Primeira Liga - Portugal

Next match Casa Pia v FC Porto Sat 12 Sept, 18:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Casa Pia — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming5 Results held

Model Strength

79.5

Strong

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

96.6%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

1 settled call on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

15th

of 15 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

5

Held

Next fixtures

1 priced

Sat 12 Sept18:00 FC Porto H — 15.50Matchbook —

Form

last 5

DLLLL 1 pts from 5

A Vitória SC 0–0 +0.2

H Moreirense 0–1 —

A GIL Vicente 0–2 -0.9

H Benfica 0–7 —

A Maritimo 0–1 -1.1

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (5 matches) Model expected (5 priced) Ahead Behind

-1.8 points against the model's expectation over the 5 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Weaknesses

Clean sheets 1 #13 of 18

Points over model expectation -1.8 #12 of 15

Goals conceded 2.2 #17 of 18

Goals scored 0 #18 of 18

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 0 #18 of 18

Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 2.2 #17 of 18

Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Clean sheets 1 #13 of 18

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

No goal detail stored

the minute-level event feed has not been collected for this club's fixtures

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

PRI Primeira Liga - Portugal 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table

No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Sat 12 Sept18:00in 21h 53m
   Casa Pia FC Porto

   PRI

   Regular Season - 6
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Graded calls — from the public ledger

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