Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Chesterfield — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.
1 Upcoming5 Results held
Model Strength
52
Developing
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
96.2%
Very Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
10th
of 24 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
5
Held
Next fixtures
1 priced
Form
last 5DDLWL
5 pts from 5
H
Barnet
3–3
-0.6
H
Gillingham
1–1
-0.6
A
Rotherham
1–2
—
A
Salford City
1–0
+1.9
H
Fleetwood Town
0–1
-1.7
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture.
A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.
Model performance
points vs expected
Points taken (5 matches)
Model expected (5 priced)
Ahead
Behind
-1.0 points against the model's expectation over the 5 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw)
under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is
what the club took against what the model priced.
Strengths & weaknesses
ranked in competitionWeaknesses
Points over model expectation
-1
#20 of 24
Attack
per game, with rankGoals scored
1.2
#14 of 24
Expected goals
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Defence
per game, with rankGoals conceded
1.4
#15 of 24
Expected against
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets
1
#15 of 24
Best model edges
on this clubNo priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no
fixture for this club on the board carries both
How the goals arrive
from the event feed40%
Scored before half time
of 5 goals
40%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 5 goals
20%
From the penalty spot
of 5 goals
29%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 7 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 5 stored fixtures
(12 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece,
and neither does this panel.
Model vs market
this clubNot enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
LTNo stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Home ground: Proact Stadium gazetteer
Recorded form
DDLWLL
last 12: 1 scored / 1.33 conceded per game · Over 2.5 33% · BTTS 56% · clean sheets 22% (9 results held)
H Barnet 3-3 D · H Gillingham 1-1 D · A Rotherham 1-2 L · A Salford City 1-0 W · H Fleetwood Town 0-1 L
Upcoming fixtures
-
Sat 19 Sept15:00in 7dnot modelledmodel building—
Transfers (last 10 recorded)
| Player | Club | Type | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IN | William Dickson | from Manchester City | Transfer | 2026-01-15 |
| OUT | M. Dibley-Dias | to Fulham | Return from loan | 2026-01-06 |
| OUT | Devan Austin Tanton Pedraza | to Fulham | Return from loan | 2026-01-06 |
| OUT | William Dickson | to Manchester City | Return from loan | 2026-01-04 |
| IN | William Dickson | from Manchester City | Loan | 2025-08-31 |
| IN | Luke Joseph Butterfield | from Everton | Free Transfer | 2025-07-18 |
| IN | Devan Austin Tanton Pedraza | from Fulham | Loan | 2025-07-07 |
| IN | M. Dibley-Dias | from Fulham | Loan | 2025-07-02 |
| OUT | Max Thompson | to Newcastle | Return from loan | 2025-05-30 |
| OUT | Harvey Araujo | to Fulham | Return from loan | 2025-05-30 |
Team data: fresh · collected just now
Explore
Frequently asked questions
When do Chesterfield play next?
Chesterfield's next fixture in the snapshot is Chesterfield v York on Sat 19 Sept, 15:00 UK time (League Two).