Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for DC United — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.
1 Upcoming33 Results held
Model Strength
57.6
Developing
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
95.4%
Very Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
28th
of 30 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
33
Held
Next fixtures
1 priced
Form
last 6LLLLLW
3 pts from 6
A
Columbus Crew
0–3
-0.7
A
Toronto FC
1–2
-0.9
H
FC Cincinnati
0–2
-1.7
A
FC Cincinnati
1–2
-0.9
A
Orlando City SC
1–4
-0.9
H
New York Red Bulls
2–1
+1.6
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture.
A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.
Model performance
points vs expected
Points taken (33 matches)
Model expected (18 priced)
Ahead
Behind
+11.4 points against the model's expectation over the 18 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw)
under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is
what the club took against what the model priced.
Strengths & weaknesses
ranked in competitionWeaknesses
Goals conceded
1.82
#21 of 30
Points over model expectation
11.4
#26 of 30
Goals scored
1.18
#29 of 30
Attack
per game, with rankGoals scored
1.18
#29 of 30
Expected goals
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Defence
per game, with rankGoals conceded
1.82
#21 of 30
Expected against
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets
6
#16 of 30
Best model edges
on this clubNo priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no
fixture for this club on the board carries both
How the goals arrive
from the event feed53%
Scored before half time
of 17 goals
12%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 17 goals
18%
From the penalty spot
of 17 goals
9%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 32 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 33 stored fixtures
(49 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece,
and neither does this panel.
Model vs market
this clubNot enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
MLSNo stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Home ground: Audi Field gazetteer
Recorded form
LLLLLW
last 12: 0.92 scored / 2.08 conceded per game · Over 2.5 75% · BTTS 58% · clean sheets 8% (40 results held)
A Columbus Crew 0-3 L · A Toronto FC 1-2 L · H FC Cincinnati 0-2 L · A FC Cincinnati 1-2 L · A Orlando City SC 1-4 L
Upcoming fixtures
-
Sat 7 Nov21:00in 7dnot modelledmodel building—
Transfers (last 8 recorded)
| Player | Club | Type | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IN | K. Fletcher | from Nottingham Forest | Return from loan | 2025-04-21 |
| OUT | M. Akinmboni | to Bournemouth | Transfer | 2025-01-03 |
| OUT | M. Akinmboni | to Bournemouth | Transfer | 2025-01-01 |
| OUT | L. O'Brien | to Nottingham Forest | 2023-07-17 | |
| IN | L. O'Brien | from Nottingham Forest | Loan | 2023-03-20 |
| IN | M. Klich | from Leeds | Free | 2023-01-12 |
| IN | C. Benteke | from Crystal Palace | 2022-08-04 | |
| IN | W. Rooney | from Everton | 2018-06-28 |
Team data: fresh · collected 3 h ago
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Frequently asked questions
When do DC United play next?
DC United's next fixture in the snapshot is DC United v New York City FC on Sat 7 Nov, 21:00 UK time (Major League Soccer).