SHARPFOOTYData · Models · Insight Dover
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Dover

FA Cup
Next match Dover v Wealdstone Sat 7 Nov, 15:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Dover — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming3 Results held
Model Strength
Not enough data
the model has priced 2 of this club's fixtures; 3 are needed
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
Not enough data
a complete three-way price is held for 0 of this club's fixtures
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
Not enough data
this club has no priced fixtures in the stored competition
Fixtures Analysed
3
Held

Next fixtures

1 priced
Sat 7 Nov15:00 Wealdstone crest Wealdstone H — no price —

Form

last 3
WWW 9 pts from 3
H Dorking Wanderers 3–2 +1.4
A Hanwell Town 2–1 —
H Folkestone Invicta 4–2 —
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected
Points taken (3 matches) Model expected (1 priced) Ahead Behind
Points taken against model expected points over 3 matches 0 5 9
+7.4 points against the model's expectation over the 1 fixture it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition
Strengths
Goals scored 3 #21 of 296
Weaknesses
Clean sheets 0 #260 of 344

Attack

per game, with rank
Goals scored 3 #21 of 296
Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank
Goals conceded 1.67 #144 of 296
Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets 0 #260 of 344

Best model edges

on this club
No priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed
60%
Scored before half time
of 5 goals
20%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 5 goals
20%
From the penalty spot
of 5 goals
0%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 4 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 3 stored fixtures (9 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club
Not enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
FAC FA Cup 1 fixture on the snapshot · competition page
No league table for this tie FA Cup is a knockout competition, so a league position would belong to a different competition entirely Recent form and the head-to-head record are shown instead.
Recorded form WLDWWD last 12: 1.58 scored / 1.08 conceded per game · Over 2.5 42% · BTTS 50% · clean sheets 33% (24 results held)
H Farnham Town 1-0 W · H Chelmsford City 0-1 L · A Salisbury 1-1 D · H Dorking Wanderers 3-2 W · H Dorking Wanderers FC 3-2 W

Upcoming fixtures

  1. Sat 7 Nov15:00in 6d
    Dover crestDover Wealdstone crestWealdstone
    FAC
    1/128-finals
    not modelled
    model building
    —

Transfers (last 6 recorded)

PlayerClubTypeDate
IN D. Akrobor-Boateng from Crystal Palace Loan 2023-01-27
IN R. Hanson from Hull City Free 2021-07-16
IN R. Hanson from Hull City Loan 2020-11-19
IN Mitchell Charles Alan Walker from Brighton Free 2012-05-15
IN T. Warren from Brentford Loan 2012-03-13
IN L. Redwood from Brighton Loan 2011-10-07
Team data: fresh · collected 3 h ago

Explore

FA Cup Next: Dover v Wealdstone Search Dover matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do Dover play next?
Dover's next fixture in the snapshot is Dover v Wealdstone on Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 UK time (FA Cup).