F

Flamengo

Brazil Série A·Maracanã

Next match Flamengo v Corinthians Sun 13 Sept, 21:30

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Flamengo — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

2 Upcoming26 Results held

Model Strength

Not enough data

the model has priced 0 of this club's fixtures; 3 are needed

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

96.5%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

2 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

1st

of 20 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

26

Held

Next fixtures

2 priced

Sun 13 Sept21:30 Corinthians H — 1.42Matchbook — Fri 18 Sept01:30 Independiente del Valle H — no price —

Form

last 6

WWWLWW 15 pts from 6

A Remo 1–0 +1.2

H Mirassol 2–0 +1.0

H Botafogo 3–0 +1.3

A Cruzeiro 1–2 -1.2

A Mirassol 5–1 +1.6

H Vitoria 2–0 +0.5

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (26 matches) Model expected (9 priced) Ahead Behind

+39.3 points against the model's expectation over the 9 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Goals scored 1.96 #1 of 20

Clean sheets 12 #1 of 20

Goals conceded 0.81 #2 of 20

Points over model expectation 39.3 #2 of 20

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 1.96 #1 of 20

Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 0.81 #2 of 20

Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Clean sheets 12 #1 of 20

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

50%

Scored before half time

of 10 goals

40%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 10 goals

0%

From the penalty spot

of 10 goals

33%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 3 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 26 stored fixtures (13 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

Upcoming fixtures

1. Sun 13 Sept21:30in 2d
   Flamengo Corinthians

   BSA

   Regular Season - 27
   not modelled
   model building
   —
2. Fri 18 Sept01:30in 6d
   Flamengo Independiente del Valle

   CL

   Quarter-finals
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

Graded calls — from the public ledger

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