Vasco da Gama v Flamengo — Brazil Série A prediction, odds and analysis
At a glance
Model edge
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Fair price
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Model prob
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Reliability
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qualification
Vasco da Gama3.60Coral
Draw3.60Coral
Flamengo2.05888sport
Best captured price per outcome · 18 bookmakers · prices observed 18 h ago
RESEARCH ONLY
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: São Januário, Rio de JaneiroKickoff weather: 20.5°C · rain 1.4 mm · wind 7.8 kph
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Pricing board
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Recorded price movement
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Match flow
No event timeline is held for this fixture yet.
Goals, cards and substitutions arrive with the in-play sweep and the post-match pass.
Timeline and match statistics
Match statistics start at kick-off
there is nothing to count until the match is under way
The model's expected goals for this fixture are in the Model tab.
Form and league position
WWLLWD
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 2 / 0.92 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% |
| Both teams scored | 42% |
| Clean sheets | 50% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | vs Corinthians (H) | 3-2 | W |
| 2026-10-24 | vs SC Corinthians Paulista (H) | 3-2 | W |
| 2026-10-21 | vs Boca Juniors (H) | 1-3 | L |
| 2026-10-18 | at Sao Paulo (A) | 0-1 | L |
| 2026-10-14 | at Boca Juniors (A) | 1-0 | W |
WDDWDD
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.25 / 0.67 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% |
| Both teams scored | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 50% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-26 | vs Atletico-MG (H) | 3-2 | W |
| 2026-10-23 | vs Estudiantes L.P. (H) | 0-0 | D |
| 2026-10-23 | vs Estudiantes La Plata (H) | 0-0 | D |
| 2026-10-18 | at Bahia (A) | 3-0 | W |
| 2026-10-16 | at Estudiantes L.P. (A) | 0-0 | D |
League standings 2026–27
| Team | Pos | Pts | P | GD | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vasco da Gama | 13 | 38 | 31 | -6 | |
| Flamengo | 2 | 67 | 31 | +36 |
Vasco da Gama: 31 pts behind 1st · 17 pts above 20th
Flamengo: 2 pts behind 1st · 46 pts above 20th
From the engine's stored standings snapshot · football-data.org · updated 2026-10-26.
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
Recent meetings
Vasco da Gama 0 wins6 drawsFlamengo 0avg 2 goalsBTTS 67%Over 2.5 in 33%
small sample — 6 meetings held; context, not a pattern claim
| Date | Match | Score | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | CR Flamengo v CR Vasco da Gama | 2-2 | Campeonato Brasileiro Série A |
| 2026-05-03 | Flamengo RJ v Vasco | 2-2 | Brazil Serie A |
| 2025-09-21 | CR Flamengo v CR Vasco da Gama | 1-1 | Campeonato Brasileiro Série A |
| 2025-09-21 | Flamengo RJ v Vasco | 1-1 | Brazil Serie A |
| 2025-04-19 | CR Vasco da Gama v CR Flamengo | 0-0 | Campeonato Brasileiro Série A |
| 2025-04-19 | Vasco v Flamengo RJ | 0-0 | Brazil Serie A |
Prior meetings held in the engine's results archive, newest first. The archive is what the model trains on, so a meeting missing here was never ingested — it is not a claim the game was not played.
Starting elevens
Line-ups not released
clubs confirm an XI about an hour before kick-off
Squad availability and reported absences are below.
Injuries and absences
No recent injury snapshot for these teams.
Availability snapshots are captured daily for covered leagues; a fixture outside those
competitions won't have one — that is a coverage statement, not "no injuries".
Signal ledger
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Grounded team-news brief
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Module freshness: odds snapshot 26 Oct, 08:07 · model run 20 Oct, 07:20
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
More Brazil Série A fixtures
Bragantino-SP v ChapecoenseFluminense v InternacionalSantos v PalmeirasBahia v Sao PauloRemo v BotafogoAtletico Mineiro v Cruzeiro
Frequently asked questions
When do Vasco da Gama play Flamengo?
Kick-off is Thu 29 Oct, 23:00 UK time in the Brazil Série A.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 26 October at 08:07 UK time. · engine slate assembled 18 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.

